Publikationsansicht

How does private foreign borrowing affect the risk of sovereign default in developing countries?

Abstract
We argue that increased foreign borrowing by the private sector reduces the risk that a developing country's government defaults on its foreign debt. We present a simple model in which private foreign borrowing reflects a surge of private entrepreneurship. A larger "entrepreneurial class" raises the political costs of default and reduces the government's incentive to deny repayment. The results of our empirical analysis support the model's key hypothesis.

Details der Publikation
Download http://www.szgerzensee.ch/fileadmin/Dateien_Anwender/Dokumente/working_papers/wp-0704.pdf
Archiv RePEc (Germany)
Typ preprint