Hui Ren, Student Member, Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras
Abstract—Cascading transmission line outages contribute to widespread blackouts. Engineers respond to the risk of cascading line outages by applying policies such as the n-1 criterion and upgrading...
Calvo, Ivan, Carreras, Benjamin A., Garcia, Luis, Pedrosa, M. A., Hidalgo, Carlos
A theoretical interpretation is given for the observed long-distance correlations in potential fluctuations in TJ-II. The value of the correlation increases above the critical point of the transition...
Carreras, Benjamin A., Llerena, Irene, Garcia, Luis, Calvo, Ivan
Visualization of turbulent flows is a powerful tool to help understand the turbulence dynamics and induced transport. However, it does not provide a quantitative description of the observed...
Fractional Levy motion through path integrals (2008)
Calvo, Ivan, Sanchez, Raul, Carreras, Benjamin A.
Fractional Levy motion (fLm) is the natural generalization of fractional Brownian motion in the context of self-similar stochastic processes and stable probability distributions. In this paper we...
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch
We give a comprehensive account of a complex systems approach to large blackouts caused by cascading failure. Instead of looking at the details of particular blackouts, we study the statistics,...
Ian Dobson, Kevin R. Wierzbicki, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, David E. Newman
Abstract — We suggest a statistical estimator to measure the extent to which failures propagate in cascading failures such as large blackouts. The estimator is tested on a saturating branching...
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman
Catastrophic disruptions of large, interconnected infrastructure systems are often due to cascading failure. For example, large blackouts of electric power systems are typically caused by cascading...
Calvo, Ivan, Garcia, Luis, Carreras, Benjamin A., Sanchez, Raul, Van Milligen, Boudewijn Ph.
In toroidal geometry, and prior to the establishment of a fully developed turbulent state, the so-called topological instability of the pressure-gradient-driven turbulence is observed. In this...
David E. Newman, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, Ian Dobson
Abstract — We use the OPA global complex systems model of the power transmission system to investigate the effect of a series of different network upgrade scenarios on the long time dynamics and...
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras
probabilistic loading-dependent model of cascading failure
Fractional generalization of Fick's law: a microscopic approach (2007)
Calvo, Ivan, Sanchez, Raul, Carreras, Benjamin A., Van Milligen, Boudewijn Ph.
In the study of transport in inhomogeneous systems it is common to construct transport equations invoking the inhomogeneous Fick law. The validity of this approach requires that at least two...
An estimator of propagation of cascading failure (2006)
Ian Dobson, Kevin R. Wierzbicki, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, David E. Newman
Abstract — We suggest a statistical estimator to measure the extent to which failures propagate in cascading failures such as large blackouts. The estimator is tested on a saturating branching...
Woodard, Ryan, Newman, David E., Sánchez, Raúl, Carreras, Benjamin A.
We show that correlated dynamics and long time memory persist in self-organized criticality (SOC) systems even when forced away from the defined critical point that exists at vanishing drive...
A loading-dependent model of probabilistic cascading failure (2005)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman, I. Dobson, B. A. Carreras, D. E. Newman
We propose an analytically tractable model of loading-dependent cascading failure that captures some of the salient features of large blackouts of electric power transmission systems+ This leads to a...
A loading-dependent model of probabilistic cascading failure (2005)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman
Abstract: Large blackouts of electric power transmission systems are typically caused by cascading failure of loaded system components. We propose an analytically tractable model of loading dependent...
Electric Reliability Technology Solutions and was funded by the Office of Electric (2005)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras
Risk analysis of critical loading and blackouts with cascading events
Probabilistic load-dependent cascading failure with limited component interactions (2004)
Dobson, Ian, Carreras, Benjamin A., Newman, David E.
This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying...
Complex dynamics of blackouts in power transmission systems (2004)
Carreras, Benjamin A., Lynch, V.E., Dobson, Ian, Newman, David E.
This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying...
Evidence for self-organized criticality in a time series of electric power system blackouts (2004)
Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman, Ian Dobson, A. Bruce Poole
Abstract — We analyze a 15-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts for evidence of selforganized criticality. The probability distribution functions of...
Estimating failure propagation in models of cascading blackouts (2004)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, Bertrand Nkei, David E. Newman
Abstract — We compare and test statistical estimates of failure propagation in data from versions of a probabilistic model of loading-dependent cascading failure and a power systems blackout model...
A Loading-Dependent Model Of Probabilistic Cascading Failure (2004)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras
We propose an analytically tractable model of loading-dependent cascading failure that captures some of the salient features of large blackouts of electric power transmission systems. This leads to a...
Evidence for self-organized criticality in a time series of electric power system blackouts (2004)
Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman, Ian Dobson, Senior Member, A. Bruce Poole
Abstract—We analyze a 15-year time series of North American electric power transmission system blackouts for evidence of selforganized criticality (SOC). The probability distribution functions of...
Probabilistic Load-Dependent Cascading Failure With Limited Component Interactions (2004)
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman
We generalize an analytically solvable probabilistic model of cascading failure in which failing components interact with other components by increasing their load and hence their chance of failure....
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, David E. Newman
We give a comprehensive account of a complex systems approach to large blackouts caused by cascading failure. Instead of looking at the details of particular blackouts, we study the statistics,...
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, Vickie E. Lynch, David E. Newman
We give an overview of a complex systems approach to large blackouts of electric power transmission systems caused by cascading failure. Instead of looking at the details of particular blackouts, we...
Ian Dobson, Benjamin A. Carreras, David E. Newman
Catastrophic disruptions of large, interconnected infrastructure systems are often due to cascading failure. For example, large blackouts of electric power systems are typically caused by cascading...
Carreras, Benjamin A., Lynch, V.E., Dobson, Ian, Newman, David E.
This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying...
Benjamin A. Carreras, Ian Dobson, James S. Thorp
First year progress report: Complex systems approach to cascading failures
Large-scale behavior of the tokamak density fluctuations (2000)
Zaslavsky, G.M., Edelman, M., Weitzner, H., Carreras, Benjamin A., McKee, George R., Bravenec, R., ...
This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying...