Kenneth R. Simler, Channing Arndt
www.ifpri.org IFPRI Division Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have not been subject to formal external reviews managed by IFPRI’s Publications Review...
Channing Arndt, Kenneth R. Simler
www.ifpri.org IFPRI’s Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have not been subject to formal review by IFPRI’s Publications Review Committee. They are...
Robert C. James, Channing Arndt, Kenneth R. Simler
www.ifpri.org IFPRI Division Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results. They have not been subject to formal external reviews managed by IFPRI’s Publications Review...
Facing the Development Challenge in Mozambique - An Economywide Perspective (2008)
Finn Tarp, Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, Sherman Robinson, Rasmus Heltberg
this report may be reproduced without the express permission of, but with acknowledgment to, the International Food Policy Research Institute
Channing Arndt, Rui Benfica, Finn Tarp, James Thurlow, Rafael Uaiene, Rui Benfica, ...
agricultural research centers that receive principal funding from governments, private foundations, and international and regional organizations, most of which are members of the Consultative Group...
Trade Policy Reform and the Missing Revenue (2008)
In many African countries, large discrepancies exist between revenues implied by published tariff rates multiplied by estimated import volumes and actual receipts. We develop a stylised trade model...
Channing Arndt, Rui Benfica, Nelson Maximiano, James T. Thurlow, ...
agricultural research centers that receive principal funding from governments, private foundations, and international and regional organizations, most of which are members of the Consultative Group...
Has Economic Growth in Mozambique been Pro-Poor? (2006)
Arndt, Channing, James, Robert C., Simler, Kenneth R.
Using the 1996–7 and 2002–3 nationally representative household surveys, we examine the extent to which growth in Mozambique has been pro-poor. Although all segments of the income distribution...
Channing Arndt, Peter Wobst, Channing Arndt, Peter Wobst
TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is expected that most...
Channing Arndt, Per-aake Andersson, Bruce Bolnick, John Cuddington, ...
TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is expected that most...
Channing Arndt, Paul Dorosh, Marzia Fontana, Sajjad Zohir, Moataz El-said, Christen Lungren, ...
TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is expected that most...
Parameter Estimation and Measures of Fit in A Global, General Equilibrium Model (2001)
Liu, Jing, Arndt, Channing, Hertel, Thomas
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models have been widely used for quantitative analysis of global economic issues. However, CGE models are frequently criticized for resting on weak empirical...
Channing Arndt, Sherman Robinson, Finn Tarp
(Revised Version) TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is...
Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, Sherman Robinson, Finn Tarp, Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, ...
TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is expected that most...
Implementing Systematic Sensitivity Analysis Using GEMPACK (1998)
Pearson, Kenneth R., Arndt, Channing
In economic simulation, results often hinge crucially on values of key exogenous inputs (the values of the parameters of the model and the shocks applied). Computational burden has, in the past,...
Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, Sherman Robinson, Finn Tarp, Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, ...
TMD Discussion Papers contain preliminary material and research results, and are circulated prior to a full peer review in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. It is expected that most...
An Introduction to Systematic Sensitivity Analysis via Gaussian Quadrature (1996)
Economists recognize that results from simulation models are dependent, sometimes highly dependent, on values employed for critical exogenous variables. To account for this, analysts sometimes...
Three essays in the efficient treatment of randomness (1996)
This dissertation consists of three essays. They examine diverse economic phenomena, but they are bound by a need to treat randomness effectively and practically. Each essay seeks to demonstrate...
Regenerative agriculture on the high plains /--submitted by Channing Arndt. (1990)
Typescript (photocopy)
An analysis of the current oil tax proposals /--by Channing Arndt. (1986)
Department of Economics.
Estimating utility-consistent poverty lines
Arndt, Channing, Simler, Kenneth R.
"The “Cost of Basic Needs” (CBN) approach to drawing consumption-based poverty lines is widely applied and lays credible claim to being the best practice for estimating poverty measures....
Estimating utility-consistent poverty lines
Arndt, Channing, Simler, Kenneth R.
"With the focus of international development resources increasingly turned toward poverty reduction, the demand for reliable empirical estimates of poverty levels has grown dramatically... This paper...
On Trade Policy Reform and the Missing Revenue: an Application to Mozambique
In many developing countries, large discrepancies exist between revenues implied by published tariff rates multiplied by estimated import volumes and actual receipts. We develop a stylized trade...
Aid and Development: The Mozambican Case
Channing Arndt, Sam Jones, Finn Tarp
This paper considers the relationship between external aid and development in Mozambique from 1980 to 2004. The main objective is to identify the specific mechanisms through which aid has influenced...
The Doha Trade Round and Mozambique
This paper considers the potential implications of the Doha Development Agenda, as well as other trade liberalization scenarios, for Mozambique. An applied general equilibrium model, which accounts...
An Introduction to Systematic Sensitivity Analysis via Gaussian Quadrature
1996, July Economists recognize that results from simulation models are dependent, sometimes highly dependent, on values employed for critical exogenous variables. To account for this, analysts...
Implementing Systematic Sensitivity Analysis Using GEMPACK
First version September 1996, revised in November 2000 In economic simulation, results often hinge crucially on values of key exogenous inputs (the values of the parameters of the model and the...
Parameter Estimation and Measures of Fit in A Global, General Equilibrium Model
Liu, Jing, Channing Arndt, Thomas Hertel
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models have been widely used for quantitative analysis of global economic issues. However, CGE models are frequently criticized for resting on weak empirical...
Structural Characteristics of the Economy of Mozambique: A SAM-Based Analysis.
Arndt, Channing, Jensen, Henning Tarp, Tarp, Finn
Key features of the Mozambican economy are synthesized in this paper based on a new 1995 social accounting matrix. Particular attention is paid to the critical role of home consumption and large...
Potential impacts of the proposed West African monetary zone on cowpea trade
Augustine S. Langyintuo, J. Lowenberg-DeBoer, Channing Arndt
Member countries of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) are expected to form a West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) by December 2009, whereby members would use a common currency in an...
Alejandro Nin, Channing Arndt, Thomas W. Hertel, Paul V. Preckel
Technical dependencies as well as data constraints limit our ability to allocate inputs across sectors and hence our ability to measure sectoral productivity. We adapt a directional measure of...
Facing the development challenge in Mozambique: an economywide perspective
Tarp, Finn, Arndt, Channing, Jensen, Henning Tarp, Robinson, Sherman, Heltberg, Rasmus
"Following Mozambique's economic collapse in 1986, the country began a wide-ranging process of reform, with the support of the international community. The diagnosis was of an economy that failed to...
Consistent poverty comparisons and inference
Channing Arndt, Kenneth R. Simler
Building upon the cost of basic needs (CBN) approach, an integrated approach to making consumption-based poverty comparisons is presented. This approach contains two principal modifications to the...
POVERTY COMPARISONS WITH ABSOLUTE POVERTY LINES ESTIMATED FROM SURVEY DATA
Kenneth R. Simler, Channing Arndt
The objective of measuring poverty is usually to make comparisons over time or between two or more groups. Common statistical inference methods are used to determine whether an apparent difference in...
Efficient survey sampling of households via Gaussian quadrature
Channing Arndt, Julia Kozlitina, Paul V. Preckel
The collection of data through surveys is a costly and time-consuming process, particularly when complex economic data are involved. The paper presents an efficient approach, based on Gaussian...
Revisiting "The Fallacy of Free Trade."
Arndt, Channing, Hertel, Thomas W
The paper examines results presented by Batra in an article entitled "The Fallacy of Free Trade" (1992). Batra contends that technical change in Japanese manufacturing necessarily reduces US real...
HIV/AIDS and labor markets in Tanzania
We analyze the implications of the HIV/AIDS pandemic in Tanzania for labor markets and human capital accumulation. Three analyses are undertaken. First, we examine the 2000/01 Labor Force Survey and...
Opportunities and challenges in agriculture and garments
Arndt, Channing, Dorosh, Paul A., Fontana, Marzia, Zohir, Sajjad, El-Said, Moataz, Lungren, Christen
"For the past two decades, Bangladesh has enjoyed steady growth in per capita incomes enabling a significant reduction in poverty. An increase in rice productivity, achieved through a combination of...
HIV/AIDS, human capital, and economic prospects for Mozambique
As in other countries in the southern Africa region, a human development catastrophe is unfolding in Mozambique. Recently released data estimate HIV prevalence rates amongst the adult population in...
Has Economic Growth in Mozambique been Pro-Poor?
Channing Arndt, Robert C. James, Kenneth R. Simler
Using the 1996--7 and 2002--3 nationally representative household surveys, we examine the extent to which growth in Mozambique has been pro-poor. Although all segments of the income distribution...
Trade Policy Reform and the Missing Revenue†
In many African countries, large discrepancies exist between revenues implied by published tariff rates multiplied by estimated import volumes and actual receipts. We develop a stylised trade model...
Poverty comparisons with absolute poverty lines estimated from survey data
Simler. Kenneth R., Arndt, Channing
"The objective of measuring poverty is usually to make comparisons over time or between two or more groups. Common statistical inference methods are used to determine whether an apparent difference...
This article analyzes the impact of road rehabilitation on the spatial market efficiency of maize markets in Mozambique. We estimate a modified version of the Parity Bounds Model (PBM) that allows us...
Biofuels, poverty, and growth: A computable general equilibrium analysis of Mozambique
Arndt, Channing, Benfica, Rui, Tarp, Finn, Thurlow, James, Uaiene, Rafael
"Large private investments in biofuels are presently underway in Mozambique. This paper uses an economywide model to assess the implications of these investments for growth and income distribution....
Langyintuo, Augustine S., Lowenberg-Deboer, James, Arndt, Channing
Member countries of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) are expected to form a West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) by 2004 whereby member countries would use a common currency in an...
MAIZE MARKETS AND RURAL STORAGE IN MOZAMBIQUE: A SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL ANALYSIS
Arndt, Channing, Schiller, Rico, Philipsen, Annelotte
We employ a mixed complementarity problem (MCP) approach to a spatial and temporal equilibrium model of the maize market in Mozambique. The MCP approach efficiently captures interactions between...
STABILIZATION AND STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT IN MOZAMBIQUE: AN APPRAISAL
This paper outlines the complex historical legacy and structural adjustment efforts in Mozambique in addition to reviewing recent economic developments. An in-depth analysis of new and more reliable...
HIV/AIDS and Primary School Performance in Tanzania
We examine the performance of the primary school education system in Tanzania over the 1990s—a decade characterized by substantial AIDS deaths. Given the relatively robust correlation between...
Poverty Comparisons with Endogenous Absolute Poverty Lines
Simler, Kenneth R., Arndt, Channing
The objective of measuring poverty is usually to make comparisons over time or between two or more groups. Comm on statistical inference methods are used to determine whether an apparent difference...
Trade Reform and Gender in Mozambique
Channing Arndt, Sherman Robinson, Finn Tarp
This paper uses an economywide model to study the impact of trade policy reform on male and female labor in Mozambique. The model disaggregates factor markets by skill and gender, and incorporates...
Higher fuel and food prices: Economic impacts and responses for Mozambique
Arndt, Channing, Benfica, Rui, Maximiano, Nelson, Nucifora, Antonio M.D., Thurlow, James
"Rising world prices for fuel and food represent a negative terms-of-trade shock for Mozambique. The impacts of these price increases are analyzed using various approaches. Detailed price data show...
DEMAND FOR HERBICIDE IN CORN: AN ENTROPY APPROACH USING MICRO-LEVEL DATA
Price responsiveness of herbicide demand in corn for farmers in Indiana'Â’s White River Basin using cross-section data from individual farms is estimated. Particular attention is paid to...
Higher fuel and food prices: impacts and responses for Mozambique
Channing Arndt, Rui Benfica, Nelson Maximiano, James T. Thurlow
Rising world prices for fuel and food represent a negative terms-of-trade shock for Mozambique. The impacts of these price rises are analyzed using various approaches. Detailed price data show that...
Stabilization and structural adjustment in Mozambique: an appraisal
Channing Arndt, Henning Tarp Jensen, Finn Tarp
This paper outlines the complex historical legacy and structural adjustment efforts in Mozambique in addition to reviewing recent economic developments. An in-depth analysis of new and more reliable...
The HIV|AIDS pandemic in South Africa: sectoral impacts and unemployment
Channing Arndt, Jeffrey D. Lewis
South Africa is currently confronting an HIV|AIDS crisis. HIV prevalence in the population is currently estimated at about 13 per cent with that number projected to increase over the next five years...
Distortions to Agricultural Incentives in Mozambique
Alfieri, Andrea, Arndt, Channing, Cirera, Xavier
Distorted incentives, agricultural and trade policy reforms, national agricultural development, Agricultural and Food Policy, International Relations/Trade, F13, F14, Q17, Q18,
Estimating Border Tax Evasion in Mozambique
The relationship between border tax rates and evasion is examined for Mozambique using the methodology developed by Fisman and Wei (2004). We find that high tax rates are associated with high levels...
Inequality and Poverty Impacts of Trade Distortions in Mozambique
Arndt, Channing, Thurlow, James
Distorted incentives, agricultural and trade policy reforms, national agricultural development, Agricultural and Food Policy, International Relations/Trade, F13, F14, Q17, Q18,
Revisting the Global Food Architecture: Lessons from the 2008 Food Crisis
Channing Arndt, Sam Jones, Finn Tarp
The micro-macro paradox has been revived. Despite broadly positive evaluations at the micro and meso-levels, recent literature has turned decidedly pessimistic with respect to the ability of foreign...
Aid and Growth: Have We Come Full Circle?
Channing Arndt, Sam Jones, Finn Tarp
The micro-macro paradox has been revived. Despite broadly positive evaluations at the micro and meso-levels, recent literature has turned decidedly pessimistic with respect to the ability of foreign...