Kozo Kiyota

Storm in a Spaghetti Bowl: FTAs and the BRIICS (2008)

Kiyota, Kozo, Molnar, Margit, Stern, Robert M

In this study we analyze the welfare and sectoral effects of a variety of options for the formation of free trade agreements by several major emerging market economies. The economies covered include:...

The Benefits of Financial Sector Liberalization for Developing Countries: A Case Study of Ethiopia (2008)

Kiyota, Kozo, Peitsch, Barbara, Stern, Robert M.

This paper focuses on issues of financial sector liberalization in Ethiopia, with reference in particular to the Ethiopian banking sector. Ethiopia is a country that has not been studied extensively...

Computational Analysis of APEC Trade Liberalization (2008)

Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M

In this study, we use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to analyze the economic welfare effects of APEC free trade, unilateral free trade for individual APEC members, and global free...

Industrial Policy Cuts Two Ways: Evidence from Cotton Spinning Firms in Japan, 1953-1979 (2008)

Kiyota, Kozo

A number of studies have revealed that the effect of industrial policy on productivity growth is negative. Is this because industrial policy fails to control the activities of firms, or because it...

The Case for Financial Sector Liberalization in Ethiopia (2007)

Kiyota, Kozo, Pietsch, Barbara, Stern, Robert

This paper focuses on issues of financial sector liberalization in Ethiopia, with reference in particular to the Ethiopian banking sector. We identify two factors that may constrain Ethiopia’s...

Why Is Multinational Status Important? Evidence from Job Creation and Job Destruction in Japan (2006)

Kiyota, Kozo, Matsuura, Toshiyuki

Previous studies of job creation and job destruction (JCJD) have found that the gross job reallocation rate greatly exceeded the net job creation rate even in a narrowly defined industry or the same...

AN ANALYSIS OF THE U.S.-SACU FTA NEGOTIATIONS (2006)

Brown, Drusilla K., Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M.

This paper analyzes the potential economic effects of bilateral negotiations for an FTA between the United States and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The U.S.-SACU FTA bilateral...

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies (2005)

Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies (2005)

Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies (2005)

Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies (2005)

Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

Innovation Versus Diffusion : Determinants of Productivity Growth Among Japanese Firms (2005)

Nishimura, Kiyohiko G., Nakajima, Takanobu, Kiyota, Kozo

This paper presents a model of firm-level productivity growth that distinguishes between innovation and technology diffusion, and then applies the model to a large-scale data set of Japanese...

Productivity Convergence at the Firm Level (2005)

Nishimura, Kiyohiko G., Nakajima, Takanobu, Kiyota, Kozo

Productivity convergence among countries has been investigated extensively with mixed results. This paper extends the analysis to the firm level to shed light on the debate of convergence or...

Does Natural Selection Mechanism Still Work in Severe Recessions? : Examination of the Japanese Economy in the 1990s (2003)

Nishimura, Kiyohiko G., Nakajima, Takanobu, Kiyota, Kozo

This paper investigates whether or not the natural selection mechanism (NSM) of economic Darwinism works in severe recessions. Although standard firm models imply the importance of NSM in an economy...

日本の新しい通商政策とその効果 : CGEモデルによる評価 (2002)

堤, 雅彦, 清田, 耕造, ツツミ, マサヒコ, キヨタ, コウゾウ, Tsutsumi, Masahiko, Kiyota, Kozo, ...

本稿は, 応用一般均衡 (Computable General Equilibrium : CGE) モデルを利用し, 日本を取り巻く新しい通商政策 (新時代経済連携協定あるいは自由貿易協定)...

The services content of Japanese trade (2001)

Kiyota, Kozo

This paper investigates the share of direct and indirect services trade in Japanese trade between 1985 and 1995, using data from Japanese input-output tables. The empirical analysis reveals that the...

The processed food industry in Japan (2001)

Itoh, Motoshige, Ito, Yukiko, Trewin, Ray, Kiyota, Kozo, Urata, Shujira, ...

In some ways food is unlike other commodities, as local tastes, delivery costs and quality are particularly significant issues for food producers. Food consumption has traditionally reflected local...

The services content of Japanese trade (2001)

Kiyota, Kozo

This paper investigates the share of direct and indirect services trade in Japanese trade between 1985 and 1995, using data from Japanese input-output tables. The empirical analysis reveals that the...

The processed food industry in Japan (2001)

Itoh, Motoshige, Ito, Yukiko, Trewin, Ray, Kiyota, Kozo, Urata, Shujira

In some ways food is unlike other commodities, as local tastes, delivery costs and quality are particularly significant issues for food producers. Food consumption has traditionally reflected local...

The services content of Japanese trade (2001)

Kiyota, Kozo

This paper investigates the share of direct and indirect services trade in Japanese trade between 1985 and 1995, using data from Japanese input-output tables. The empirical analysis reveals that the...

The processed food industry in Japan (2001)

Itoh, Motoshige, Ito, Yukiko, Trewin, Ray, Kiyota, Kozo, Urata, Shujira

In some ways food is unlike other commodities, as local tastes, delivery costs and quality are particularly significant issues for food producers. Food consumption has traditionally reflected local...

"Productivity Convergence at the Firm Level"

Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, Takanobu Nakajima, Kozo Kiyota

Productivity convergence among countries has been investigated extensively with mixed results. This paper extends the analysis to the firm level to shed light on the debate of convergence or...

"Foreign Technology Acquisition Policy and Firm Performance in Japan, 1957-1970: Micro-aspects of Industrial Policy"

Kozo Kiyota, Tetsuji Okazaki

We examine the determinants and effects of technology acquisition licensing, using firm-level data between 1957 and 1970. Our results indicate that in technology acquisition licensing, the government...

The Impacts of an East Asia FTA on Foreign Trade in East Asia

Shujiro Urata, Kozo Kiyota

This paper attempts to examine the impact of an East Asia FTA on trade patterns in East Asia by using a multi-sector computable general equilibrium model. The model used in this analysis is the...

"Innovation Versus Diffusion: Determinants of Productivity Growth Among Japanese Firms"

Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, Takanobu Nakajima, Kozo Kiyota

This paper presents a model of firm-level productivity growth that distinguishes between innovation and technology diffusion, and then applies the model to a large-scale data set of Japanese...

Employment of MNEs in Japan: New Evidence

Kozo Kiyota, Toshiyuki Matsuura

This paper asks two questions. 1) Do multinational enterprises (MNEs) present different patterns of employment from domestic firms? 2) Do workers in MNEs face a higher risk of losing jobs? We...

China's Long-Term International Trade Statistics: By Commodity, 1952-1964 and 1981-2000

Kyoji Fukao, Kozo Kiyota, Ximing Yue

International trade has been a key engine driving Chinese economic growth in recent decades. Yet, long-term analyses of China's trade are still difficult because the country's trade statistics for...

"Does Natural Selection Mechanism Still Work in Severe Recessions? --]Examination of the Japanese Economy in the 1990s ---"

Kiyohiko G. Nishimura, Takanobu Nakajima, Kozo Kiyota

This paper investigates whether or not the natural selection mechanism (NSM) of economic Darwinism works in severe recessions. Although standard firm models imply the importance of NSM in an economy...

An Analysis of the Potential Economic Effects of Bilateral, Regional, and Multilateral Free Trade

Kozo Kiyota

This paper presents a computational analysis of the potential economic effects of trade liberalization in various regional and bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs) that have been negotiated in...

The Shadow of Death: Pre-exit Performance of Firms in Japan

Kozo Kiyota, Miho Takizawa

This paper examines the pre-exit productivity performance and asks how productivity affects future survival, controlling for firm size and unobserved firm heterogeneity. Based on firm-level data in...

The Shadow of Death: Pre-exit Performance of Firms in Japan

Kozo Kiyota, Miho Takizawa

This paper examines the pre-exit productivity performance and asks how productivity affects future survival, using firm-level data in Japan for 1995-2002. We found that firms did not face "sudden...

Why Is Multinational Status Important? Evidence from Job Creation and Job Destruction in Japan

Kozo Kiyota, Toshiyuki Matsuura

Previous studies of job creation and job destruction (JCJD) have found that the gross job reallocation rate greatly exceeded the net job creation rate even in a narrowly defined industry or the same...

On Testing the Law of Comparative Advantage

Kozo Kiyota

This paper reconsiders the law of comparative advantage (Deardorff, 1980, 1994) from an empirical point of view. I show that not only net exports valued at autarky prices but also those valued at...

Economic Effects of a Korea-U.S. Free Trade Agreement

Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

This study presents an analysis of the bilateral free trade agreement (FTA) that is being negotiated between Korea and the United States. The bilateral FTA negotiations were notified to the U.S....

An Analysis of the U.S.-SACU FTA Negotiations

Drusilla Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert Stern

This paper analyzes the potential economic effects of bilateral negotiations for an FTA between the United States and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The U.S.-SACU FTA bilateral...

Computational Analysis of the U.S FTAs with Central America, Australia, And Morocco

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the economic effects of the U.S. bilateral FTAs negotiated with Central America, Australia, and Morocco. The model covers 18 economic...

Computational Analysis of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA)

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the economic effects of the Free Trade Area of the Americas (FTAA) that is currently being negotiated among the 34 countries in the...

Enhancing the Benefits for India and Other Developing Countries in the Doha Development Agenda Negotiations

Fukunari Kimura, Kozo Kiyota

This paper utilizes micro-panel data for firms located in Japan and examines differences in static and dynamic corporate performance between foreign-owned and domestically-owned firms in the 1990s....

Computational Analysis of the U.S FTA with the Southern African Customs Union (SACU)

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the economic effects of the U.S. FTA being negotiated with the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The model covers 18 economic...

Computational Analysis of the Menu of U.S.-Japan Trade Policies

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We have used the Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S.-Japan trade...

The Services Content of Japanese Trade

Kozo Kiyota

This paper investigates the share of direct and indirect services trade in Japanese trade between 1985 and 1995, using data from Japanese input-output tables. The empirical analysis reveals that the...

Foreign-owned versus Domestically-owned Firms: Economic Performance in Japan

Fukunari Kimura, Kozo Kiyota

This paper utilizes micro-panel data for firms located in Japan and examines differences in corporate performance between foreign-owned and domestically-owned firms in the 1990s. We find that...

Computational Analysis of the US FTAs with Central America, Australia and Morocco

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We use the Michigan Model of World Production and Trade to assess the economic effects of the US bilateral FTAs negotiated with Central America, Australia and Morocco. The model covers 18 economic...

Computational Analysis of the Menu of US-Japan Trade Policies

Drusilla K. Brown, Kozo Kiyota, Robert M. Stern

We have used the Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of US-Japan trade...

Exchange Rate, Exchange Rate Volatility and Foreign Direct Investment

Kozo Kiyota, Shujiro Urata

In the light of the importance of foreign direct investment (FDI) for the promotion of economic development, this paper examines the impact of the changes in the real exchange rate and its volatility...

The Role of Multinational Firms in International Trade: The Case of Japan

Kozo Kiyota, Shujiro Urata

This paper examines the role of multinational firms in international trade using firm-level panel data for Japanese firms between 1994 and 2000. Our results indicate that multinational firms dominate...

Reconsidering the Backward Vertical Linkages of Foreign Affiliates: Evidence from Japanese Multinationals

Kozo Kiyota, Toshiyuki Matsuura, Shujiro Urata, Yuhong Wei

This paper examines the determinants of the backward vertical linkages of Japanese foreign affiliates in manufacturing for the period 1994-2000, focusing on the local backward linkages, or local...

The Case for Financial Sector Liberalization in Ethiopia

Kozo Kiyota, Barbara Peitsch, Robert M. Stern

This paper focuses on issues of financial sector liberalization in Ethiopia, with reference in particular to the Ethiopian banking sector. We identify two factors that may constrain Ethiopia’s...

"Foreign Technology Acquisition Policy and Firm Performance in Japan, 1957-1970: The Japanese Industrial Policy Revisited"

Kozo Kiyota, Tetsuji Okazaki

We examine the cause and effect of technology acquisition policy on firm performance, using firm-level data between 1957 and 1970. Our results indicate that in the technology acquisition licensing,...

The Role of Multinational Firms in International Trade: The Case of Japan

Kozo Kiyota, Shujiro Urata

This paper examines the role of multinational firms in international trade, using firm-level panel data for Japanese firms between 1994 and 2000. Our results indicate that multinational firms...

Reconsidering the Backward Vertical Linkage of Foreign Affiliates: Evidence from Japanese Multinationals

Kozo Kiyota, Toshiyuki Matsuura, Shujiro Urata, Yuhong Wei

This paper examined the determinants of the backward vertical linkages of Japanese foreign affiliates in manufacturing for the period 1994-2000, focusing on the local backward linkages, or local...

Reconsidering the Effects of Intranational and nternational R&D Spillovers on Productivity Growth: Firm-level Evidence from Japan

Kozo Kiyota

Surprisingly, nearly 70 percent of Japanese manufacturing firms do not invest in Research and Development (R&D). Using firm-level longitudinal data in Japan, this paper asks why many firms can...

Exports, FDI, and Productivity: Dynamic Evidence from Japanese Firms

Fukunari Kimura, Kozo Kiyota

Multinational enterprises, panel data, firm heterogeneity, total factor productivity, firm survival,

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies

Kozo Kiyota, Robert Stern

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

An Assessment of the Economic Effects of the Menu of U.S. Trade Policies

Kozo Kiyota, Robert Stern

The Michigan Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model of World Production and Trade is used to calculate the aggregate welfare and sectoral employment effects of the menu of U.S. trade policies....

"Industrial Policy Cuts Two Ways: Evidence from Cotton Spinning Firms in Japan, 1953-1979"

Kozo Kiyota, Tetsuji Okazaki

A number of studies have revealed that the effect of industrial policy on productivity growth is negative. Is this because industrial policy fails to control the activities of firms, or because it...

The role of multinational firms in international trade: The case of Japan

Kiyota, Kozo, Urata, Shujiro

This paper examines the role of multinational firms in international trade using firm-level panel data for Japanese firms between 1994 and 2000. Our results indicate that multinational firms dominate...

An Analysis of a US-Southern African Customs Union (SACU) Free Trade Agreement

Brown, Drusilla K., Kiyota, Kozo, Stern, Robert M.

Summary This paper analyzes the potential economic effects of bilateral negotiations for an FTA between the United States and the Southern African Customs Union (SACU). The US-SACU FTA bilateral...

Reconsidering the Backward Vertical Linkages of Foreign Affiliates: Evidence from Japanese Multinationals

Kiyota, Kozo, Matsuura, Toshiyuki, Urata, Shujiro, Wei, Yuhong

Summary This paper examines the determinants of the backward vertical linkages of Japanese foreign affiliates in manufacturing for the period 1994-2000, focusing on the local backward linkages, or...

EXCHANGE RATE VOLATILITY AND MNCs' PRODUCTION AND DISTRIBUTION NETWORKS: THE CASE OF JAPANESE MANUFACTURING MNCs

KOZO KIYOTA, TOSHIYUKI MATSUURA, SHUJIRO URATA

This paper empirically examines the impacts of exchange rate volatility on the location choice by Japanese multinational corporations (MNCs) and their intra-firm trade. We use affiliate-level data...

Paths of Development and Wage VariationsPaths of Development and Wage Variations

Kozo Kiyota

In analyzing the relationship between factor endowments and sectoral percapita output (the path of development), Schott (2003) showed empirically that the number of cones was neither one nor three...

The Case for Financial Sector Liberalization in Ethiopia

Kozo Kiyota, Barbara Peitsch, Robert M. Stern

Volume 1, Making the Rules, covers: trade-related aspects of intellectual property rights (TRIPS); the multilateral agreement on investment (MAI); fast track/trade promotion authority; the 1999...

Issues in U.S.-ROK Economic Relations Issues in U.S.-ROK Economic Relations

Robert M. Stern, Kozo Kiyota

This paper builds on the analysis of Kiyota and Stern (2007) of the economic effects of a KoreaU.S. free trade agreement (KORUSFTA). We review the objectives and main features of the KORUSFTA as...

Trade Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Income Distribution in a Multiple-cone Neoclassical Growth Model

Kozo Kiyota

The empirical literature on trade liberalization reflects two puzzles. First, the effect of trade liberalization on economic growth is ambiguous. Second, the effect of trade liberalization by...

Trade Liberalization, Economic Growth, and Income Distribution in a Multiple-cone Neoclassical Growth Model

Kiyota, Kozo

The empirical literature on trade liberalization reflects two puzzles. First, the effect of trade liberalization on economic growth is ambiguous. Second, the effect of trade liberalization by...

Measurement of the market power of firms: the Japanese case in the 1990s

Kozo Kiyota, Takanobu Nakajima, Kiyohiko G. Nishimura

This article presents a new simple econometric framework for the estimation of individual firms' markup over their marginal cost, taking account of firm heterogeneity, demand-driven cyclical price...