A Reference Point Theory of Mergers and Acquisitions (2009)
Wurgler, Jeffrey, Pan, Xin, Baker, Malcolm
The use of judgmental anchors or reference points in valuing corporations affects several basic aspects of merger and acquisition activity including offer prices, deal success, market reaction, and...
The Psychology of Pricing in Mergers and Acquisitions (2009)
Wurgler, Jeffrey, Pan, Xin, Baker, Malcolm
Psychology-driven pricing practices are evident in mergers and acquisitions. In particular, offer prices are highly influenced by the target’s 52-week high stock price. This price likely serves...
Global, Local, and Contagious Investor Sentiment (2009)
Wurgler, Jeffrey, Baker, Malcolm, Yuan, Yu
We construct indexes of investor sentiment for six major stock markets and decompose them into one global and six local indexes. Relative market sentiment is correlated with the relative prices of...
Baker, Malcolm, Foley, C. Fritz, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Empirical evidence of imperfect integration across world capital markets suggests a role for cross-border arbitrage by multinationals. Consistent with multinational arbitrage as a determinant of...
2004, A catering theory of dividends (2008)
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler, Raj Aggarwal, Katharine Baker, Y Cohen, Xavier Gabaix, ...
financial support from the Division of Research of the Harvard Business School. The views expressed herein are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the National Bureau of Economic...
Investor protection and corporate valuation 1 (2007)
Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-silanes, Andrei Shleifer, Robert Vishny, Research Assistance, Malcolm Baker, ...
We present a model of the effects of legal protection of minority shareholders and of cash flow ownership by a controlling shareholder on the valuation of firms. We then test this model using a...
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption (2007)
Baker, Malcolm., Wurgler, Jeffrey.
Brookings Papers on Economic Activity - 2007, 1
Catering Through Nominal Share Prices (2007)
Baker, Malcolm, Greenwood, Robin, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We propose and test a catering theory of nominal stock prices. The theory predicts that when investors place higher valuations on low-price firms, managers will maintain share prices at lower levels,...
Catering Through Nominal Share Prices (2007)
Baker, Malcolm, Greenwood, Robin, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We propose and test a catering theory of nominal stock prices. The theory predicts that when investors place higher valuations on low-price firms, managers will maintain share prices at lower levels,...
Public Images for Private Spaces? The Place of Sculpture in the Georgian Domestic Interior (2007)
This paper examines the increasing prominence of sculpture within the Georgian interior in terms of the relationship between the (apparently) public nature of sculpture and recent discussions of the...
Government bonds and the cross-section of stock returns∗ (2006)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffery
We document that U.S. government bonds comove more strongly with “bond-like stocks”— stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor...
Government bonds and the cross-section of stock returns∗ (2006)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffery
We document that U.S. government bonds comove more strongly with “bond-like stocks”— stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor...
GOVERNMENT BONDS AND THE CROSS-SECTION OF STOCK RETURNS (2005)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document that U.S. government bonds comove more strongly with “bond-like stocks” stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor...
GOVERNMENT BONDS AND THE CROSS-SECTION OF STOCK RETURNS (2005)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document that U.S. government bonds comove more strongly with “bond-like stocks” stocks of large, mature, low-volatility, profitable, dividend-paying firms that are neither high growth nor...
The effect of dividends on consumption (2005)
Baker, Malcolm, Nagel, Stefan, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Classical models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions...
The effect of dividends on consumption (2005)
Baker, Malcolm, Nagel, Stefan, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Classical models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions...
Baker, Malcolm, Litov, Lubomir, Wachter, Jessica A., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We measure the stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the returns realized around the subsequent earnings announcements of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard...
Baker, Malcolm, Litov, Lubomir, Wachter, Jessica A., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We measure the stock-picking skill of mutual fund managers based on the returns realized around the subsequent earnings announcements of the stocks that they hold and trade. Relative to standard...
STOCK MARKET VALUATIONS AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Foley, C. Fritz, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We outline and test two theories of foreign direct investment based on capital market mispricing. The “cheap assets” or “fire-sale” theory considers FDI inflows as the purchase of undervalued...
STOCK MARKET VALUATIONS AND FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Foley, C. Fritz, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We outline and test two theories of foreign direct investment based on capital market mispricing. The “cheap assets” or “fire-sale” theory considers FDI inflows as the purchase of undervalued...
Eighteenth-Century Studies - Volume 38, Number 1, Fall 2004
Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Survey (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Ruback, Richard S., Wurgler, Jeffrey
Research in behavioral corporate finance takes two distinct approaches. The first emphasizes that investors are less than fully rational. It views managerial financing and investment decisions as...
Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Survey (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Ruback, Richard S., Wurgler, Jeffrey
Research in behavioral corporate finance takes two distinct approaches. The first emphasizes that investors are less than fully rational. It views managerial financing and investment decisions as...
Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Taliaferro, Ryan, Wurgler, Jeffrey
A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these...
Pseudo Market Timing and Predictive Regressions (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Taliaferro, Ryan, Wurgler, Jeffrey
A number of studies claim that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, have power to predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these...
Baker, Malcolm, Litov, Lubomir, Wachter, Jessica A., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We test whether fund managers have stock-picking skill by comparing their holdings and trades prior to earnings announcements with the returns realized at those events. This approach largely avoids...
Baker, Malcolm, Litov, Lubomir, Wachter, Jessica A., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We test whether fund managers have stock-picking skill by comparing their holdings and trades prior to earnings announcements with the returns realized at those events. This approach largely avoids...
The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Foley, C. Fritz, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Foreign direct investment offers a rich laboratory in which to study the broader economic effects of securities market mispricing. We outline and test two mispricing-based theories of FDI. The...
The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows (2004)
Baker, Malcolm, Foley, C. Fritz, Wurgler, Jeffrey
Foreign direct investment offers a rich laboratory in which to study the broader economic effects of securities market mispricing. We outline and test two mispricing-based theories of FDI. The...
INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND THE CROSS-SECTION OF STOCK RETURNS (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
INVESTOR SENTIMENT AND THE CROSS-SECTION OF STOCK RETURNS (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
Investor sentiment and the cross-section of stock returns (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
Appearing and disappearing dividends: The link to catering incentives (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document a close link between fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends and catering incentives. First, we use the methodology of Fama and French (2001) to identify a total of four distinct...
Appearing and disappearing dividends: The link to catering incentives (2003)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document a close link between fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends and catering incentives. First, we use the methodology of Fama and French (2001) to identify a total of four distinct...
WHY ARE DIVIDENDS DISAPPEARING? AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We investigate the causes of time-series fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends,including the post-1978 decline documented by Fama and French (2001). We consider explanations based on...
Why are dividends disappearing? An empirical analysis (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We investigate the causes of time-series fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends, including the post-1978 decline documented by Fama and French (2001). We consider explanations based on...
Why are dividends disappearing? An empirical analysis (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We investigate the causes of time-series fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends, including the post-1978 decline documented by Fama and French (2001). We consider explanations based on...
WHY ARE DIVIDENDS DISAPPEARING? AN EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We investigate the causes of time-series fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends,including the post-1978 decline documented by Fama and French (2001). We consider explanations based on...
A Catering Theory of Dividends (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We develop a theory in which the decision to pay dividends is driven by investor demand. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers and not...
A Catering Theory of Dividends (2002)
Baker, Malcolm, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We develop a theory in which the decision to pay dividends is driven by investor demand. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers and not...
Market Timing and Capital Structure (2002)
Malcolm Baker Harvard, Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
We trace capital structure to past market valuations. Unlevered firms tend to be those that raised funds when their valuations were high, as measured by the market-to-book ratio. Levered firms tend...
Harvard Business School, Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood, Jeffrey Wurgler
this paper, we ask whether time series variation in the maturity of debt issues is tied to predictability in excess long-term bond returns. Relative to the literature on equity financing patterns,...
Baker, Malcolm, Greenwood, Robin, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document that firms tend to borrow at the lowest-cost maturity. In aggregate time series data, the share of long-term debt issues in total debt issues is negatively related to subsequent excess...
Baker, Malcolm, Greenwood, Robin, Wurgler, Jeffrey
We document that firms tend to borrow at the lowest-cost maturity. In aggregate time series data, the share of long-term debt issues in total debt issues is negatively related to subsequent excess...
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms (2001)
Baker, Malcolm, Stein, Jeremy C., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that...
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms (2001)
Baker, Malcolm, Stein, Jeremy C., Wurgler, Jeffrey
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that...
The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns (1999)
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
The share of equity issues in total new equity and debt issues is a strong predictor of U.S. stock market returns between 1928 and 1997. In particular, firms issue relatively more equity than debt...
A Grand Design : The Art of the Victoria and Albert Museum (1997)
Baker, Malcolm (ed.), Richardson, Brenda (ed.)
Catálogo de A Grand Design: The Art of of the Victoria and Albert Museum, exposición que reunió más de 250 obras de la colección del Victoria and Albert Museum, en Londres, Inglaterra,...
A Grand Design : The Art of the Victoria and Albert Museum (1997)
Baker, Malcolm (ed.), Richardson, Brenda (ed.)
1-85177-300-2
Behavioral Corporate Finance: A Survey
Malcolm Baker, Richard S. Ruback, Jeffrey Wurgler
Research in behavioral corporate finance takes two distinct approaches. The first emphasizes that investors are less than fully rational. It views managerial financing and investment decisions as...
Corporate Financing Decisions When Investors Take the Path of Least Resistance
Malcolm Baker, Joshua Coval, Jeremy C. Stein
We explore the consequences for corporate financial policy that arise when investors exhibit inertial behavior. One implication of investor inertia is that, all else equal, a firm pursuing a strategy...
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption
Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel, Jeffrey Wurgler
Classical models predict that the division of stock returns into dividends and capital appreciation does not affect investor consumption patterns, while mental accounting and other economic frictions...
Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator
Malcolm Baker, Jeremy C. Stein
We build a model that helps explain why increases in liquidity-such as lower bid-ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher turnoverpredict lower subsequent returns in both...
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investsment of Equity-Dependent Firms
Malcolm Baker, Jeremy C. Stein, Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model to outline the conditions under which corporate investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is...
Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
Real investors and markets are too complicated to be neatly summarized by a few selected biases and trading frictions. The "top down" approach to behavioral finance focuses on the measurement of...
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption
Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel, Jeffrey Wurgler
In classical models the division of stock returns into dividends and capital gains has no "real" consequence for investor consumption. This paper, using two micro data sets that provide...
The Equity Share in New Issues and Aggregate Stock Returns
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
The share of equity issues in total new equity and debt issues is a strong predictor of U.S. stock market returns between 1928 and 1997. In particular, firms issue relatively more equity than debt...
Market Timing and Capital Structure
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
It is well known that firms are more likely to issue equity when their market values are high, relative to book and past market values, and to repurchase equity when their market values are low. We...
A Catering Theory of Dividends
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
We propose that the decision to pay dividends is driven by prevailing investor demand for dividend payers. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on...
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
MALCOLM BAKER, JEFFREY WURGLER
We study how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. We predict that a wave of investor sentiment has larger effects on securities whose valuations are highly subjective and...
Predicting Returns with Managerial Decision Variables: Is There a Small-Sample Bias?
MALCOLM BAKER, RYAN TALIAFERRO, JEFFREY WURGLER*
Many studies find that aggregate managerial decision variables, such as aggregate equity issuance, predict stock or bond market returns. Recent research argues that these findings may be driven by an...
Investor Sentiment in the Stock Market
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
Investor sentiment, defined broadly, is a belief about future cash flows and investment risks that is not justified by the facts at hand. The question is no longer whether investor sentiment affects...
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption
Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel, Jeffrey Wurgler
In classical models the division of stock returns into dividends and capital gains has no "real" consequence for investor consumption. This paper, using two micro data sets that provide...
The Effect of Dividends on Consumption
Malcolm Baker, Stefan Nagel, Jeffrey Wurgler
In classical models the division of stock returns into dividends and capital gains has no "real" consequence for investor consumption. This paper, using two micro data sets that provide...
When Does The Market Matter? Stock Prices And The Investment Of Equity-Dependent Firms
Malcolm Baker, Jeremy C. Stein, Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model to outline the conditions under which corporate investment is sensitive to nonfundamental movements in stock prices. The key prediction is that stock prices have a stronger...
When Does the Market Matter? Stock Prices and the Investment of Equity-Dependent Firms
Malcolm Baker, Jeremy C. Stein, Jeffrey Wurgler
We use a simple model of corporate investment to determine when investment will be sensitive to non-fundamental movements in stock prices. The key cross-sectional prediction of the model is that...
Market Liquidity as a Sentiment Indicator
Malcolm Baker, Jeremy C. Stein
We build a model that helps explain why increases in liquidity - such as lower bid-ask spreads, a lower price impact of trade, or higher share turnover - predict lower subsequent returns in both...
A Catering Theory of Dividends
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
We develop a theory in which the decision to pay dividends is driven by investor demand. Managers cater to investors by paying dividends when investors put a stock price premium on payers and not...
Appearing and Disappearing Dividends: The Link to Catering Incentives
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
We document a close link between fluctuations in the propensity to pay dividends and catering incentives. First, we use the methodology of Fama and French (2001) to identify a total of four distinct...
Investor Sentiment and the Cross-Section of Stock Returns
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler
We examine how investor sentiment affects the cross-section of stock returns. Theory predicts that a broad wave of sentiment will disproportionately affect stocks whose valuations are highly...
The Stock Market and Investment: Evidence from FDI Flows
Malcolm Baker, C. Fritz Foley, Jeffrey Wurgler
Foreign direct investment offers a rich laboratory in which to study the broader economic effects of securities market mispricing. We outline and test two mispricing-based theories of FDI. The cheap...
Can Mutual Fund Managers Pick Stocks? Evidence from the Trades Prior to Earnings Announcements
Malcolm Baker, Lubomir Litov, Jessica A. Wachter, Jeffrey Wurgler
We test whether fund managers have stock-picking skill by comparing their holdings and trades prior to earnings announcements with the returns realized at those events. This approach largely avoids...
Catering Through Nominal Share Prices
Malcolm Baker, Robin Greenwood, Jeffrey Wurgler
We propose and test a catering theory of nominal stock prices. The theory predicts that when investors place higher valuations on low-price firms, managers will maintain share prices at lower levels,...
The Determinants of Board Structure at the Initial Public Offering
Baker, Malcolm, Gompers, Paul A
This paper describes board size and composition and investigates the role of venture capital in a sample of 1,116 firms' initial public offerings. First, firms backed by venture capital have fewer...
Multinationals as Arbitrageurs: The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment
Malcolm Baker, C. Fritz Foley, Jeffrey Wurgler
Empirical evidence of imperfect integration across world capital markets suggests a role for cross-border arbitrage by multinationals. Consistent with multinational arbitrage as a determinant of...
Global, local, and contagious investor sentiment
Malcolm Baker, Jeffrey Wurgler, Yu Yuan
We construct indexes of investor sentiment for six major stock markets and decompose them into one global and six local indexes. Relative market sentiment is correlated with the relative prices of...