Minh Ha-Duong

Zero is the only acceptable leakage rate for geologically stored CO2: an editorial comment (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Loisel, Rodica

Leakage is one of the main concerns of all parties involved with the development of Carbon Capture and Storage. From an economic point of view, Van der Zwaan and Gerlagh (2009) suggest that CCS...

Zero is the only acceptable leakage rate for geologically stored CO2: an editorial comment (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Loisel, Rodica

Leakage is one of the main concerns of all parties involved with the development of Carbon Capture and Storage. From an economic point of view, Van der Zwaan and Gerlagh (2009) suggest that CCS...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Conclusions principales du projet SOCECO2 sur l'économie et la sociologie du captage et du stockage du CO2 (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Chaabane, Naceur

De décembre 2006 à mai 2009, le projet de recherche SOCECO21 a étudié les aspects économiques et sociaux du captage et stockage du CO2 en France. Selon le sondage CIRED-TNS SOFRES réalisé à...

Conclusions principales du projet SOCECO2 sur l'économie et la sociologie du captage et du stockage du CO2 (2009)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Chaabane, Naceur

De décembre 2006 à mai 2009, le projet de recherche SOCECO21 a étudié les aspects économiques et sociaux du captage et stockage du CO2 en France. Selon le sondage CIRED-TNS SOFRES réalisé à...

Economic Potential of Renewable Energy in Vietnam's Power Sector (2009)

Nguyen, Nhan Thanh, Ha-Duong, Minh

A bottom-up Integrated Resource Planning model is used to examine the economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector. In a baseline scenario without renewables, coal provides 44% of...

Economic Potential of Renewable Energy in Vietnam's Power Sector (2009)

Nguyen, Nhan Thanh, Ha-Duong, Minh

A bottom-up Integrated Resource Planning model is used to examine the economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector. In a baseline scenario without renewables, coal provides 44% of...

Minh Ha Duong (2008)

Nicolas Bouleau, Directeur De Recherche, Alain Chateauneuf, Minh Ha-duong

Habilitation à diriger les recherches Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises

Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Ha-Duong, Minh, Hallegatte, Stéphane

We describe a method to represent the results of climate simulation models with analogues. An analogue to a city A is a city B whose climate today represents A’s simulated future climate. Climates...

Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Ha-Duong, Minh, Hallegatte, Stéphane

We describe a method to represent the results of climate simulation models with analogues. An analogue to a city A is a city B whose climate today represents A’s simulated future climate. Climates...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change (2008)

Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change (2008)

Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Symmetric and hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on a climate sensivity dataset (2008)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Symmetric and hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on a climate sensivity dataset (2008)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Ha-Duong, Minh, Hallegatte, Stéphane

We describe a method to represent the results of climate simulation models with analogues. An analogue to a city A is a city B whose climate today represents A’s simulated future climate. Climates...

Using maps of city analogues to display and interpret climate change scenarios and their uncertainty (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Ha-Duong, Minh, Hallegatte, Stéphane

We describe a method to represent the results of climate simulation models with analogues. An analogue to a city A is a city B whose climate today represents A’s simulated future climate. Climates...

A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM (2008)

Ha-Duong, Minh

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are...

A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM (2008)

Ha-Duong, Minh

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change (2008)

Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change (2008)

Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

L'évolution climatique des villes européennes (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Hallegatte, Stéphane, Ha-Duong, Minh

La méthode des analogues climatiques consiste à déterminer un endroit doté aujourd'hui d'un climat comparable à celui que l'on prédit à la fin du siècle. Ce travail représente ainsi ce que...

L'évolution climatique des villes européennes (2008)

Kopf, Sebastian, Hallegatte, Stéphane, Ha-Duong, Minh

La méthode des analogues climatiques consiste à déterminer un endroit doté aujourd'hui d'un climat comparable à celui que l'on prédit à la fin du siècle. Ce travail représente ainsi ce que...

Bounding Analysis of Lung Cancer Risks Using Imprecise Probabilities (2007)

Minh Ha-Duong, Elizabeth Casman, M. Granger Morgan

For cancers with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cancers attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed when...

Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC: agreeing to disagree (2007)

Swart, Rob, Bernstein, Lenny, Ha-Duong, Minh, Petersen, Arthur

Dealing consistently with risk and uncertainty across the IPCC reports is a difficult challenge. Huge practical difficulties arise from the Panel's scale and interdisciplinary context, the complexity...

Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Swart, Rob, Bernstein, Lenny, Petersen, Arthur

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of...

Captage et stockage du CO2: quels enjeux en France (2007)

De Guillebon, Benoît, Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce article est issu de présentations et d'un débat menés lors d'un atelier de dialogue tenu le 27/04/2007 dans le cadre des projets de recherche SOCECO2 et METSTOR. Cet atelier de dialogue...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC (2007)

Swart, Rob, Bernstein, Lenny, Ha-Duong, Minh, Petersen, Arthur

Dealing consistently with risk and uncertainty across the IPCC reports is a difficult challenge. Huge practical difficulties arise from the Panel's scale and interdisciplinary context, the complexity...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Agreeing to disagree: Uncertainty management in assessing climate change, impacts and responses by the IPCC (2007)

Swart, Rob, Bernstein, Lenny, Ha-Duong, Minh, Petersen, Arthur

Dealing consistently with risk and uncertainty across the IPCC reports is a difficult challenge. Huge practical difficulties arise from the Panel's scale and interdisciplinary context, the complexity...

Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Swart, Rob, Bernstein, Lenny, Petersen, Arthur

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of...

Captage et stockage du CO2: quels enjeux en France (2007)

De Guillebon, Benoît, Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce article est issu de présentations et d'un débat menés lors d'un atelier de dialogue tenu le 27/04/2007 dans le cadre des projets de recherche SOCECO2 et METSTOR. Cet atelier de dialogue...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France (2007)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Campos, Ana Sofia, Nadai, Alain

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Fusion of experts' opinions on climate sensitivity with the Transferable Belief Model (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper aggregates experts' opinion on the climate sensitivity parameter from Morgan and Keith (1995) using the Transferable Belief Model. The non-independence of experts issue is dealt with by...

La modélisation intégrée économie – énergie – climat (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

SPIP dans la recherche : la gestion avec RSS des listes de publications déposées au Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe (CCSD/HAL) (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Les listes de publications scientifiques sont un élément clé des sites de laboratoires de recherche. Elles sont aussi essentielles aux pages personnelles des chercheurs. Gérer ces listes de...

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper discusses aspects of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change policy. It opposes not only the objective approach (viewing probabilities as degrees...

Comment intégrer l'économie, l'énergie et le climat ? (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

SPIP dans la recherche : la gestion avec RSS des listes de publications déposées au Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe (CCSD/HAL) (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Les listes de publications scientifiques sont un élément clé des sites de laboratoires de recherche. Elles sont aussi essentielles aux pages personnelles des chercheurs. Gérer ces listes de...

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper discusses aspects of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change policy. It opposes not only the objective approach (viewing probabilities as degrees...

Comment intégrer l'économie, l'énergie et le climat ? (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

Comment intégrer l'économie, l'énergie et le climat ? (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

SPIP dans la recherche : la gestion avec RSS des listes de publications déposées au Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe (CCSD/HAL) (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Les listes de publications scientifiques sont un élément clé des sites de laboratoires de recherche. Elles sont aussi essentielles aux pages personnelles des chercheurs. Gérer ces listes de...

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper discusses aspects of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change policy. It opposes not only the objective approach (viewing probabilities as degrees...

Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on climate sensivity (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on climate sensivity (2006)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Learning and climate change (2006)

C. O'neill, Brian, Crutzen, Paul, Grübler, Arnulf, Ha-Duong, Minh, Keller, Klaus, Kolstad, Charles, ...

Learning – i.e. the acquisition of new information that leads to changes in our assessment of uncertainty – plays a prominent role in the international climate policy debate. For example, the...

Learning and climate change (2006)

C. O'neill, Brian, Crutzen, Paul, Grübler, Arnulf, Ha-Duong, Minh, Keller, Klaus, Kolstad, Charles, ...

Learning – i.e. the acquisition of new information that leads to changes in our assessment of uncertainty – plays a prominent role in the international climate policy debate. For example, the view...

Fusion of experts ’ opinions on climate sensitivity with the Transferable Belief Model (2006)

Minh Ha-duong

This paper aggregates experts ’ opinion on the climate sensitivity parameter from Morgan and Keith [1995] using the Transferable Belief Model. The non-independence of experts issue is dealt with by...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air (2005)

Keith, David, Ha-Duong, Minh, Stolaroff, Joshua

Ce texte porte sur la question de la réversibilité à long terme des émissions de CO2. Il donne un exemple de technologies de capture directe à partir de l'air, qui permet de borner le coût...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper deals with the so-called `probability of scenarios' issues: what is the meaning of these numbers, and what is the appropriate degree of unlikelihood of extreme scenarios ? For far distant...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility...

Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air (2005)

Keith, David, Ha-Duong, Minh, Stolaroff, Joshua

Ce texte porte sur la question de la réversibilité à long terme des émissions de CO2. Il donne un exemple de technologies de capture directe à partir de l'air, qui permet de borner le coût...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility...

Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air (2005)

Keith, David, Ha-Duong, Minh, Stolaroff, Joshua

Ce texte porte sur la question de la réversibilité à long terme des émissions de CO2. Il donne un exemple de technologies de capture directe à partir de l'air, qui permet de borner le coût...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises (2005)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Sur la communication par le web d'un laboratoire de recherche (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mardon, Gilles

Cet article compare les fonctionnalités et l'organisation de seize sites de laboratoires de recherche. Une analyse matricielle (sites × fonctions) de l'échantillon révèle d'un recouvrement...

An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Dumas, Patrice

This paper studies uncertainty about the non-linearity of climate change impact. The DIAM 2.3 model is used to compute the sensitivity of optimal CO2 emissions paths with respect to damage function...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Treich, Nicolas

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter gamma measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter rho measures resistance to...

A strategy for bounding attributable risk: a lung cancer example. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Casman, Elizabeth, Morgan, Granger

For diseases with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cases attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed, especially...

Sur la communication par le web d'un laboratoire de recherche (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mardon, Gilles

Cet article compare les fonctionnalités et l'organisation de seize sites de laboratoires de recherche. Une analyse matricielle (sites × fonctions) de l'échantillon révèle d'un recouvrement...

An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Dumas, Patrice

This paper studies uncertainty about the non-linearity of climate change impact. The DIAM 2.3 model is used to compute the sensitivity of optimal CO2 emissions paths with respect to damage function...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Treich, Nicolas

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter gamma measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter rho measures resistance to...

A strategy for bounding attributable risk: a lung cancer example. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Casman, Elizabeth, Morgan, Granger

For diseases with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cases attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed, especially...

Sur la communication par le web d'un laboratoire de recherche (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mardon, Gilles

Cet article compare les fonctionnalités et l'organisation de seize sites de laboratoires de recherche. Une analyse matricielle (sites × fonctions) de l'échantillon révèle d'un recouvrement...

An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Dumas, Patrice

This paper studies uncertainty about the non-linearity of climate change impact. The DIAM 2.3 model is used to compute the sensitivity of optimal CO2 emissions paths with respect to damage function...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Treich, Nicolas

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter gamma measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter rho measures resistance to...

A strategy for bounding attributable risk: a lung cancer example. (2004)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Casman, Elizabeth, Morgan, Granger

For diseases with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cases attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed, especially...

The real option with an absorbing barrier. (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Morel, Benoit

Ce papier analyse l'option réelle avec barrière inférieure. C'est le modèle d'un investissement irréversible soumis au risque de perdre l'option d'investir si on attend trop. La valeur critique...

Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Keith, David

Les combustibles fossiles peuvent être utilisés avec peu d'émissions en capturant le dioxyde de carbone et en le stockant dans des structures géologiques. Cependant, une fraction du carbone...

A pro-active stratospheric ozone protection scenario (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mégie, Gérard, Hauglustaine, Didier

We explore the consequences of an earlier phase-out of Ozone Depleting Substances, starting ten years before the Montreal Protocol. Atmospheric chemistry simulations verify the effectiveness of such...

Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate damages (2003)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ambrosi, Philippe, Hallegatte, Stéphane, Lecocq, Franck, Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the consequences of various attitudes towards climate damages through a family of stochastic optimal control models (RESPONSE): cost-efficiency for a given temperature ceiling;...

The real option with an absorbing barrier. (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Morel, Benoit

Ce papier analyse l'option réelle avec barrière inférieure. C'est le modèle d'un investissement irréversible soumis au risque de perdre l'option d'investir si on attend trop. La valeur critique...

Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Keith, David

Les combustibles fossiles peuvent être utilisés avec peu d'émissions en capturant le dioxyde de carbone et en le stockant dans des structures géologiques. Cependant, une fraction du carbone...

A pro-active stratospheric ozone protection scenario (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mégie, Gérard, Hauglustaine, Didier

We explore the consequences of an earlier phase-out of Ozone Depleting Substances, starting ten years before the Montreal Protocol. Atmospheric chemistry simulations verify the effectiveness of such...

Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate damages (2003)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ambrosi, Philippe, Hallegatte, Stéphane, Lecocq, Franck, Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the consequences of various attitudes towards climate damages through a family of stochastic optimal control models (RESPONSE): cost-efficiency for a given temperature ceiling;...

Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate damages (2003)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ambrosi, Philippe, Hallegatte, Stéphane, Lecocq, Franck, Dumas, Patrice, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper examines the consequences of various attitudes towards climate damages through a family of stochastic optimal control models (RESPONSE): cost-efficiency for a given temperature ceiling;...

The real option with an absorbing barrier. (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Morel, Benoit

Ce papier analyse l'option réelle avec barrière inférieure. C'est le modèle d'un investissement irréversible soumis au risque de perdre l'option d'investir si on attend trop. La valeur critique...

Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Keith, David

Les combustibles fossiles peuvent être utilisés avec peu d'émissions en capturant le dioxyde de carbone et en le stockant dans des structures géologiques. Cependant, une fraction du carbone...

A pro-active stratospheric ozone protection scenario (2003)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Mégie, Gérard, Hauglustaine, Didier

We explore the consequences of an earlier phase-out of Ozone Depleting Substances, starting ten years before the Montreal Protocol. Atmospheric chemistry simulations verify the effectiveness of such...

Introduction aux approches économiques de l'incertitude (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Cette communication définit quelques mots au sens où les entendent les économistes étudiant l'incertitude, les politiques climatiques et la modélisation intégrée. La première partie expose...

Policy framework and systems management of global climate change (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Climate change is representative of a general class of environmental issues where decisions have to be taken under controversies. The policy framework for these kinds of decisions is defined by three...

Introduction aux approches économiques de l'incertitude (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Cette communication définit quelques mots au sens où les entendent les économistes étudiant l'incertitude, les politiques climatiques et la modélisation intégrée. La première partie expose...

Policy framework and systems management of global climate change (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Climate change is representative of a general class of environmental issues where decisions have to be taken under controversies. The policy framework for these kinds of decisions is defined by three...

Introduction aux approches économiques de l'incertitude (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Cette communication définit quelques mots au sens où les entendent les économistes étudiant l'incertitude, les politiques climatiques et la modélisation intégrée. La première partie expose...

Policy framework and systems management of global climate change (2002)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Climate change is representative of a general class of environmental issues where decisions have to be taken under controversies. The policy framework for these kinds of decisions is defined by three...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models (2001)

Minh Ha-Duong; Centre International De Recherche Sur L’Environnement Et Le Développement

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models (2001)

Minh Ha-Duong; Centre International De Recherche Sur L’Environnement Et Le Développement

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

INASUD project findings on integrated assessment of climate policies (2001)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubler, Arnulf, Tol, Richard

This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an Europeanwide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The projectaimed at improving the framing of climate policy...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models. (2001)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

INASUD project findings on integrated assessment of climate policies (2001)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubler, Arnulf, Tol, Richard

This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an Europeanwide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The project aimed at improving the framing of climate policy...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models. (2001)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

INASUD project findings on integrated assessment of climate policies (2001)

Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubler, Arnulf, Tol, Richard

This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an Europeanwide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The project aimed at improving the framing of climate policy...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models. (2001)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

Perspectives sur le Changement climatique (2000)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Des progrès importants ont été réalisés cette dernière décennie dans la compréhension du changement climatique et de ses remèdes.L'hypothèse centrale pour le futur est un réchauffement...

L'initiative européenne "Suivi global pour l'environnement et la sécurité'' et le protocole de Kyoto (2000)

Bégni, Gérard, Ha-Duong, Minh, Lacaux, Jean-Pierre, Lambin, E., Le Treut, Hervé, Morel, A., ...

En 1992 la Convention Cadre des Nations Unies pour le Contrôle du Changement du Climat (UNFCCC) a montré la prise de conscience internationale des effets néfastes de l'accumulation dans...

Perspectives sur le Changement climatique (2000)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Des progrès importants ont été réalisés cette dernière décennie dans la compréhension du changement climatique et de ses remèdes. L'hypothèse centrale pour le futur est un réchauffement...

L'initiative européenne "Suivi global pour l'environnement et la sécurité'' et le protocole de Kyoto (2000)

Bégni, Gérard, Ha-Duong, Minh, Lacaux, Jean-Pierre, Lambin, E., Le Treut, Hervé, Morel, A., ...

En 1992 la Convention Cadre des Nations Unies pour le Contrôle du Changement du Climat (UNFCCC) a montré la prise de conscience internationale des effets néfastes de l'accumulation dans...

Perspectives sur le Changement climatique (2000)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Des progrès importants ont été réalisés cette dernière décennie dans la compréhension du changement climatique et de ses remèdes. L'hypothèse centrale pour le futur est un réchauffement...

L'initiative européenne "Suivi global pour l'environnement et la sécurité'' et le protocole de Kyoto (2000)

Bégni, Gérard, Ha-Duong, Minh, Lacaux, Jean-Pierre, Lambin, E., Le Treut, Hervé, Morel, A., ...

En 1992 la Convention Cadre des Nations Unies pour le Contrôle du Changement du Climat (UNFCCC) a montré la prise de conscience internationale des effets néfastes de l'accumulation dans...

Recursive Intergenerational Utility in Global Climate Risk Modeling (1999)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Treich, Nicolas

Ce texte étudie la différence entre l'aversion relative au risque et la résistance à la substitution intertemporelle dans la modélisation du risque climatique. Les préférences récursives...

Recursive Intergenerational Utility in Global Climate Risk Modeling (1999)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Treich, Nicolas

Ce texte étudie la différence entre l'aversion relative au risque et la résistance à la substitution intertemporelle dans la modélisation du risque climatique. Les préférences récursives...

Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility (1998)

Lecocq, Franck, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh

Current debates on climate mitigation emphasize the role of the inertia of the economic system. Our aim in this paper is to study more in depth how sectorally differentiated inertia impacts on...

Comment tenir compte de l'irréversibilité dans l'évaluation intégrée du changement climatique ? (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh

Les politiques énergétiques ne peuvent plus ignorer leurs conséquences sur le climat. Mais il s'agit d'un problème à long terme et encore mal connu scientifiquement. Plusieurs raisons justifient...

Dynamic consistency problems behind the Kyoto protocol (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Lecocq, Franck

This paper examines the economic rationale behind both the quantitative targets and the flexibility mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol. It synthesises some theoretical dimensions of the debate...

Quasi-option value and climate policy choices (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh

In the climate change issue, the environmental irreversibility (risk of an acceleration of mitigation policies if the worse happen) has to be balanced with the investment irreversibility (risk of...

Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility (1998)

Lecocq, Franck, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh

Current debates on climate mitigation emphasize the role of the inertia of the economic system. Our aim in this paper is to study more in depth how sectorally differentiated inertia impacts on...

Dynamic consistency problems behind the Kyoto protocol (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Lecocq, Franck

This paper examines the economic rationale behind both the quantitative targets and the flexibility mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol. It synthesises some theoretical dimensions of the debate...

Quasi-option value and climate policy choices (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh

In the climate change issue, the environmental irreversibility (risk of an acceleration of mitigation policies if the worse happen) has to be balanced with the investment irreversibility (risk of...

Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility (1998)

Lecocq, Franck, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Ha-Duong, Minh

Current debates on climate mitigation emphasize the role of the inertia of the economic system. Our aim in this paper is to study more in depth how sectorally differentiated inertia impacts on...

Dynamic consistency problems behind the Kyoto protocol (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Hourcade, Jean-Charles, Lecocq, Franck

This paper examines the economic rationale behind both the quantitative targets and the flexibility mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol. It synthesises some theoretical dimensions of the debate...

Quasi-option value and climate policy choices (1998)

Ha-Duong, Minh

In the climate change issue, the environmental irreversibility (risk of an acceleration of mitigation policies if the worse happen) has to be balanced with the investment irreversibility (risk of...

Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This presentation has two parts. The first part is more theoretical. We will examine the definition of Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change and identify their main aims. We will also have...

An experience with Mathematica in the field of economics of the environment: DIAM (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing humankind for the next century. We expose how we build a Model about the Dynamics of Inertia and Adaptability in energy systems (DIAM) to study...

Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO2-emission abatement (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubb, Michael, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Following the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [1], countries will negotiate in Kyoto this December an agreement to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here we examine optimal CO2 policies,...

Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This presentation has two parts. The first part is more theoretical. We will examine the definition of Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change and identify their main aims. We will also have...

An experience with Mathematica in the field of economics of the environment: DIAM (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing humankind for the next century. We expose how we build a Model about the Dynamics of Inertia and Adaptability in energy systems (DIAM) to study...

Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO2-emission abatement (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubb, Michael, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Following the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [1], countries will negotiate in Kyoto this December an agreement to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here we examine optimal CO2 policies,...

Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh

This presentation has two parts. The first part is more theoretical. We will examine the definition of Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change and identify their main aims. We will also have...

An experience with Mathematica in the field of economics of the environment: DIAM (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Matarasso, Pierre

Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing humankind for the next century. We expose how we build a Model about the Dynamics of Inertia and Adaptability in energy systems (DIAM) to study...

Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO2-emission abatement (1997)

Ha-Duong, Minh, Grubb, Michael, Hourcade, Jean-Charles

Following the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [1], countries will negotiate in Kyoto this December an agreement to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here we examine optimal CO2 policies,...

The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy. (1995)

Grubb, Michael, Thierry, Chapuis, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper reviews evidence that energy technologies and systems adapt over time to accomodate external pressures: that technical innovation and systemic change in the energy sector is largely...

The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy. (1995)

Grubb, Michael, Thierry, Chapuis, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper reviews evidence that energy technologies and systems adapt over time to accomodate external pressures: that technical innovation and systemic change in the energy sector is largely...

The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy. (1995)

Grubb, Michael, Thierry, Chapuis, Ha-Duong, Minh

This paper reviews evidence that energy technologies and systems adapt over time to accomodate external pressures: that technical innovation and systemic change in the energy sector is largely...

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper discusses aspects of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change policy. It opposes not only the objective approach (viewing probabilities as degrees...

Perspectives sur le Changement climatique

Minh Ha-Duong

Des progrès importants ont été réalisés cette dernière décennie dans la compréhension du changement climatique et de ses remèdes.L'hypothèse centrale pour le futur est un réchauffement...

Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view

Minh Ha-Duong

This presentation has two parts. The first part is more theoretical. We will examine the definition of Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change and identify their main aims. We will also have...

An experience with Mathematica in the field of economics of the environment: DIAM

Minh Ha-Duong, Pierre Matarasso

Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing humankind for the next century. We expose how we build a Model about the Dynamics of Inertia and Adaptability in energy systems (DIAM) to study...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change.

Minh Ha-Duong, Nicolas Treich

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter gamma measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter rho measures resistance to...

INASUD project findings on integrated assessment of climate policies

Jean-Charles Hourcade, Minh Ha-Duong, Arnulf Grubler, Richard Tol

This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an Europeanwide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The projectaimed at improving the framing of climate policy...

Introduction aux approches économiques de l'incertitude

Minh Ha-Duong

Cette communication définit quelques mots au sens où les entendent les économistes étudiant l'incertitude, les politiques climatiques et la modélisation intégrée. La première partie expose...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change

Minh Ha-Duong, Nicolas Treich

Using intergenerational recursive preferences, we examine both theoretically and numerically how social preferences with respect to equity and risk affect the optimal management of a stock...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models.

Minh Ha-Duong

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

Policy framework and systems management of global climate change

Minh Ha-Duong, Jean-Charles Hourcade

Climate change is representative of a general class of environmental issues where decisions have to be taken under controversies. The policy framework for these kinds of decisions is defined by three...

An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits

Minh Ha-Duong, Patrice Dumas

This paper studies uncertainty about the non-linearity of climate change impact. The DIAM 2.3 model is used to compute the sensitivity of optimal CO2 emissions paths with respect to damage function...

The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy.

Michael Grubb, Chapuis Thierry, Minh Ha-Duong

This paper reviews evidence that energy technologies and systems adapt over time to accomodate external pressures: that technical innovation and systemic change in the energy sector is largely...

Quasi-option value and climate policy choices

Minh Ha-Duong

In the climate change issue, the environmental irreversibility (risk of an acceleration of mitigation policies if the worse happen) has to be balanced with the investment irreversibility (risk of...

Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility

Franck Lecocq, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Minh Ha-Duong

Current debates on climate mitigation emphasize the role of the inertia of the economic system. Our aim in this paper is to study more in depth how sectorally differentiated inertia impacts on...

Dynamic consistency problems behind the Kyoto protocol

Minh Ha-Duong, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Franck Lecocq

This paper examines the economic rationale behind both the quantitative targets and the flexibility mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol. It synthesises some theoretical dimensions of the debate...

A strategy for bounding attributable risk: a lung cancer example.

Minh Ha-Duong, Elizabeth Casman, Granger Morgan

For diseases with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cases attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed, especially...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper deals with the so-called `probability of scenarios' issues: what is the meaning of these numbers, and what is the appropriate degree of unlikelihood of extreme scenarios ? For far distant...

Modèles de précaution en économie: introduction aux probabilités imprécises

Minh Ha-Duong

Ce mémoire présente une recherche pour mieux traiter les problèmes d'environnement globaux en améliorant la prise en compte du risque et de l'incertitude dans les modèles numériques...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility...

La modélisation intégrée économie – énergie – climat

Minh Ha-Duong, Pierre Matarasso

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

Risk Aversion, Intergenerational Equity and Climate Change

Minh Ha-Duong, Nicolas Treich

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter γ measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter Ï measures resistance to...

Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on climate sensivity

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change

Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Risk aversion, intergenerational equity and climate change.

Minh Ha-Duong, Nicolas Treich

The paper investigates a climate-economy model with an iso-elastic welfare function in which one parameter gamma measures relative risk-aversion and a distinct parameter rho measures resistance to...

Transparency and control in engineering integrated assessment models.

Minh Ha-Duong

Better software engineering such as archiving releases with version control, writing portable code, publishing documentation and results closely tied to the code improves integrated assessment...

Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate damages

Jean-Charles Hourcade, Philippe Ambrosi, Stéphane Hallegatte, Franck Lecocq, Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong

This paper examines the consequences of various attitudes towards climate damages through a family of stochastic optimal control models (RESPONSE): cost-efficiency for a given temperature ceiling;...

Policy framework and systems management of global climate change

Minh Ha-Duong, Jean-Charles Hourcade

Climate change is representative of a general class of environmental issues where decisions have to be taken under controversies. The policy framework for these kinds of decisions is defined by three...

An abrupt stochastic damage function to analyse climate policy benefits

Minh Ha-Duong, Patrice Dumas

This paper studies uncertainty about the non-linearity of climate change impact. The DIAM 2.3 model is used to compute the sensitivity of optimal CO2 emissions paths with respect to damage function...

Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO2-emission abatement

Minh Ha-Duong, Michael Grubb, Jean-Charles Hourcade

Following the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [1], countries will negotiate in Kyoto this December an agreement to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here we examine optimal CO2 policies,...

The economics of changing course: implications of adaptability and inertia for optimal climate policy.

Michael Grubb, Chapuis Thierry, Minh Ha-Duong

This paper reviews evidence that energy technologies and systems adapt over time to accomodate external pressures: that technical innovation and systemic change in the energy sector is largely...

Quasi-option value and climate policy choices

Minh Ha-Duong

In the climate change issue, the environmental irreversibility (risk of an acceleration of mitigation policies if the worse happen) has to be balanced with the investment irreversibility (risk of...

Decision making under uncertainty and inertia constraints: sectoral implications of the when flexibility

Franck Lecocq, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Minh Ha-Duong

Current debates on climate mitigation emphasize the role of the inertia of the economic system. Our aim in this paper is to study more in depth how sectorally differentiated inertia impacts on...

Dynamic consistency problems behind the Kyoto protocol

Minh Ha-Duong, Jean-Charles Hourcade, Franck Lecocq

This paper examines the economic rationale behind both the quantitative targets and the flexibility mechanisms adopted in the Kyoto Protocol. It synthesises some theoretical dimensions of the debate...

A strategy for bounding attributable risk: a lung cancer example.

Minh Ha-Duong, Elizabeth Casman, Granger Morgan

For diseases with more than one risk factor, the sum of probabilistic estimates of the number of cases attributable to each individual factor may exceed the total number of cases observed, especially...

Scenarios, probability and possible futures

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper provides an introduction to the mathematical theory of possibility, and examines how this tool can contribute to the analysis of far distant futures. The degree of mathematical possibility...

Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air

David Keith, Minh Ha-Duong, Joshua Stolaroff

Ce texte porte sur la question de la réversibilité à long terme des émissions de CO2. Il donne un exemple de technologies de capture directe à partir de l'air, qui permet de borner le coût...

A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM

Minh Ha-Duong

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are...

Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs

Minh Ha-Duong, David Keith

Les combustibles fossiles peuvent être utilisés avec peu d'émissions en capturant le dioxyde de carbone et en le stockant dans des structures géologiques. Cependant, une fraction du carbone...

The real option with an absorbing barrier.

Minh Ha-Duong, Benoit Morel

Ce papier analyse l'option réelle avec barrière inférieure. C'est le modèle d'un investissement irréversible soumis au risque de perdre l'option d'investir si on attend trop. La valeur critique...

INASUD project findings on integrated assessment of climate policies

Jean-Charles Hourcade, Minh Ha-Duong, Arnulf Grubler, Richard Tol

This communication summarizes the main findings of INASUD, an Europeanwide research project on integrated assessment of climate policies. The projectaimed at improving the framing of climate policy...

An experience with Mathematica in the field of economics of the environment: DIAM

Minh Ha-Duong, Pierre Matarasso

Climate change is one of the biggest challenges facing humankind for the next century. We expose how we build a Model about the Dynamics of Inertia and Adaptability in energy systems (DIAM) to study...

Necessities and problems of coupling climate and socioeconomic models for integrated assessments studies from an economist's point of view

Minh Ha-Duong

This presentation has two parts. The first part is more theoretical. We will examine the definition of Integrated Assessment Models of Climate Change and identify their main aims. We will also have...

Perspectives sur le Changement climatique

Minh Ha-Duong

Des progrès importants ont été réalisés cette dernière décennie dans la compréhension du changement climatique et de ses remèdes.L'hypothèse centrale pour le futur est un réchauffement...

Comment intégrer l'économie, l'énergie et le climat ?

Minh Ha-Duong, Pierre Matarasso

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree

Minh Ha-Duong, Rob Swart, Lenny Bernstein, Arthur Petersen

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of...

Captage et stockage du CO2: quels enjeux en France

Benoît De Guillebon, Minh Ha-Duong

Ce article est issu de présentations et d'un débat menés lors d'un atelier de dialogue tenu le 27/04/2007 dans le cadre des projets de recherche SOCECO2 et METSTOR. Cet atelier de dialogue...

A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM

Minh Ha-Duong

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are...

Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper discusses aspects of risk and uncertainty relevant in an interdisciplinary assessment of climate change policy. It opposes not only the objective approach (viewing probabilities as degrees...

Introduction aux approches économiques de l'incertitude

Minh Ha-Duong

Cette communication définit quelques mots au sens où les entendent les économistes étudiant l'incertitude, les politiques climatiques et la modélisation intégrée. La première partie expose...

Hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on climate sensivity

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France

Minh Ha-Duong, Ana Sofia Campos, Alain Nadai

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change

Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Optimal control models and elicitation of attitudes towards climate damages

Jean-Charles Hourcade, Philippe Ambrosi, Stéphane Hallegatte, Franck Lecocq, Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong

This paper examines the consequences of various attitudes towards climate damages through a family of stochastic optimal control models (RESPONSE): cost-efficiency for a given temperature ceiling;...

Influence of socioeconomic inertia and uncertainty on optimal CO2-emission abatement

Minh Ha-Duong, Michael Grubb, Jean-Charles Hourcade

Following the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change [1], countries will negotiate in Kyoto this December an agreement to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here we examine optimal CO2 policies,...

Climate strategy with CO2 capture from the air

David Keith, Minh Ha-Duong, Joshua Stolaroff

Ce texte porte sur la question de la réversibilité à long terme des émissions de CO2. Il donne un exemple de technologies de capture directe à partir de l'air, qui permet de borner le coût...

Carbon storage: the economic efficiency of storing CO2 in leaky reservoirs

Minh Ha-Duong, David Keith

Les combustibles fossiles peuvent être utilisés avec peu d'émissions en capturant le dioxyde de carbone et en le stockant dans des structures géologiques. Cependant, une fraction du carbone...

The real option with an absorbing barrier.

Minh Ha-Duong, Benoit Morel

Ce papier analyse l'option réelle avec barrière inférieure. C'est le modèle d'un investissement irréversible soumis au risque de perdre l'option d'investir si on attend trop. La valeur critique...

Comment intégrer l'économie, l'énergie et le climat ?

Minh Ha-Duong, Pierre Matarasso

Les modèles « intégrés » économie-énergie-climat sont des modèles numériques interdisciplinaires destinés à étudier ces questions d'impact, d'adaptation et de réduction du changement...

Fusion of experts' opinions on climate sensitivity with the Transferable Belief Model

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper aggregates experts' opinion on the climate sensitivity parameter from Morgan and Keith (1995) using the Transferable Belief Model. The non-independence of experts issue is dealt with by...

Uncertainty management in the IPCC: agreeing to disagree

Minh Ha-Duong, Rob Swart, Lenny Bernstein, Arthur Petersen

Looking back over three and a half Assessment Reports, we see that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has given increasing attention to the management and reporting of...

Captage et stockage du CO2: quels enjeux en France

Benoît De Guillebon, Minh Ha-Duong

Ce article est issu de présentations et d'un débat menés lors d'un atelier de dialogue tenu le 27/04/2007 dans le cadre des projets de recherche SOCECO2 et METSTOR. Cet atelier de dialogue...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France

Minh Ha-Duong, Ana Sofia Campos, Alain Nadai

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Symmetric and hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model, application on a climate sensivity dataset

Minh Ha-Duong

This paper examines the fusion of conflicting and not independent expert opinion in the Transferable Belief Model. Regarding procedures that combine opinions symmetrically, when beliefs are bayesian...

Optimal growth with adaptation to climate change

Patrice Dumas, Minh Ha-Duong

Many economic sectors, like housing or transportation, are exposed to climate and likely to suffer efficiency losses when climate changes. The global economy is far from dematerialized yet, these...

Recursive Intergenerational Utility in Global Climate Risk Modeling

Minh Ha-Duong, Nicolas Treich

This paper distinguishes relative risk aversion and resistance to intertemporal substitution in climate risk modeling. Stochastic recursive preferences are introduced in a stylized numeric...

L'évolution climatique des villes européennes

Sebastian Kopf, Stéphane Hallegatte, Minh Ha-Duong

La méthode des analogues climatiques consiste à déterminer un endroit doté aujourd'hui d'un climat comparable à celui que l'on prédit à la fin du siècle. Ce travail représente ainsi ce que...

Economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector

Nguyen, Nhan T., Ha-Duong, Minh

A bottom-up Integrated Resource Planning model is used to examine the economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector. In a baseline scenario without renewables, coal provides 44% of...

Learning and climate change

Brian C. O'neill, Paul Crutzen, Arnulf Grübler, Minh Ha-Duong, Klaus Keller, Charles Kolstad, ...

Learning – i.e. the acquisition of new information that leads to changes in our assessment of uncertainty – plays a prominent role in the international climate policy debate. For example, the...

Zero is the only acceptable leakage rate for geologically stored CO2: an editorial comment

Minh Ha-Duong, Rodica Loisel

Leakage is one of the main concerns of all parties involved with the development of Carbon Capture and Storage. From an economic point of view, Van der Zwaan and Gerlagh (2009) suggest that CCS...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France

Minh Ha-Duong, Ana Sofia Campos, Alain Nadai

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France

Minh Ha-Duong, Ana Sofia Campos, Alain Nadai

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Conclusions principales du projet SOCECO2 sur l'économie et la sociologie du captage et du stockage du CO2

Minh Ha-Duong, Naceur Chaabane

De décembre 2006 à mai 2009, le projet de recherche SOCECO21 a étudié les aspects économiques et sociaux du captage et stockage du CO2 en France. Selon le sondage CIRED-TNS SOFRES réalisé à...

A survey on the public perception of CCS in France

Minh Ha-Duong, Ana Sofia Campos, Alain Nadai

An awareness and opinion survey on Carbon Capture and Storage was conducted on a representative sample of French aged 15 years and above. About 6\% of respondents were able to provide a satisfying...

Economic Potential of Renewable Energy in Vietnam's Power Sector

Nhan Thanh Nguyen, Minh Ha-Duong

A bottom-up Integrated Resource Planning model is used to examine the economic potential of renewable energy in Vietnam's power sector. In a baseline scenario without renewables, coal provides 44% of...