Peter Tino

Topographic Mapping of astronomical light curves via a physically inspired Probabilistic model (2009)

Gianniotis, Nikolaos, Tino, Peter, Spreckley, Steve, Raychaudhury, Somak

We present a probabilistic generative approach for constructing topographic maps of light curves from eclipsing binary stars. The model defines a low-dimensional manifold of local noise models...

Uncovering delayed patterns in noisy and irregularly sampled time series: an astronomy application (2009)

Cuevas-Tello, Juan C., Tino, Peter, Raychaudhury, Somak, Yao, Xin, Harva, Markus

We study the problem of estimating the time delay between two signals representing delayed, irregularly sampled and noisy versions of the same underlying pattern. We propose and demonstrate an...

Estimating Time Delay in Gravitationally Lensed Fluxes (2009)

Tino, Peter, Cuevas-Tello, Juan C., Raychaudhury, Somak

We study the problem of estimating the time delay between two signals representing delayed, irregularly sampled and noisy versions of the same underlying pattern. We propose a kernel-based technique...

Understanding and Predicting Dynamical Behaviours in Financial Markets: Financial Application Research in CERCIA (2008)

Jin Li, Xiaoli Li, Colin Frayn, Peter Tino, Xin Yao

Applications (CERCIA) is a unique new initiative, aimed to be an international leader in applied research and knowledge transfer of computational intelligence techniques for the benefit of industry...

Topographic Organization of User Preference Patterns in Collaborative Filtering (2008)

Peter Tino, Gabriela Polcicova

We introduce topographic versions of two latent class models for collaborative filtering.

Equilibria of Iterative Softmax and Critical Temperatures for Intermittent Search in Self-Organizing Neural Networks (2008)

Tino, Peter

Optimization dynamics using self-organizing neural networks (SONN) driven by softmax weight renormalization has been shown to be capable of intermittent search for high-quality solutions in...

Building predictive models on complex symbolic sequences via a first-order recurrent BCM network with lateral inhibition (2007)

Peter Tino, Michal Stancík, Lubica Benusková

. We use a recurrent version of the Bienenstock, Cooper and Munro network (RBCMN) with lateral inhibition [2] to map histories of symbols into activations in the recurrent layer. After training the...

Semi-Supervised Construction of General Visualization Hierarchies (2007)

Peter Tino, Yi Sun, Ian Nabney

Abstract We have recently developed a principled approach to interactive non-linear hierarchical visualization [8] based on the Generative Topographic Mapping (GTM). Hierarchical plots are needed...

1 (2007)

Tsungnan Lin, Bill G. Horne, Peter Tino

long--term dependencies is not as difficult with NARX recurrent neural networks

y (2007)

Peter Tino, Bill G. Horne, C. Lee Giles

The position, number and stability types of fixed points of a two--neuron recurrent network with nonzero weights are investigated. Using simple geometrical arguments in the space of derivatives of...

University of Vienna, (2007)

Christian Schittenkopf, Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

Essentially, there are two notions of volatility in literature: historical volatility and implied volatility. While measures of the former notion are derived from historical returns by (weighted)...

Building Predictive Models on Complex (2007)

Symbolic Sequences Via, Peter Tino

We use a recurrent version of the Bienenstock, Cooper and Munro network (RBCMN) with lateral inhibition [2] to map histories of symbols into activations in the recurrent layer. After training the...

How accurate are the time delay estimates in gravitational lensing? (2006)

Cuevas-Tello, Juan C., Tino, Peter, Raychaudhury, Somak

We present a novel approach to estimate the time delay between light curves of multiple images in a gravitationally lensed system, based on Kernel methods in the context of machine learning. We...

Managing Diversity in Regression Ensembles (2005)

Brown, Gavin, Wyatt, Jeremy, Tino, Peter

Ensembles are a widely used and effective technique in machine learning---their success is commonly attributed to the degree of disagreement, or 'diversity', within the ensemble. For ensembles where...

Semisupervised learning of hierarchical latent trait models for data visualisation (2005)

Ian T. Nabney, Yi Sun, Peter Tino, Ata Kabán

Abstract—Recently, we have developed the hierarchical Generative Topographic Mapping (HGTM), an interactive method for visualization of large high-dimensional real-valued data sets. In this paper,...

Markovian architectural bias of recurrent neural networks (2002)

Peter Tino, Barbara Hammer

We have recently shown that when initialized with "small " weights, recurrent neural networks (RNNs) with standard sigmoid-type activation functions are inherently biased towards...

Attractive Periodic Sets in Discrete Time Recurrent Networks (with Emphasis on Fixed Point Stability and Bifurcations in Two-Neuron Networks) (2001)

Peter Tino, Bill G. Horne, C. Lee Giles

The position, number and stability types of fixed points of a two--neuron recurrent network with nonzero weights are investigated. Using geometrical arguments in the space of derivatives of the...

The benefit of information reduction for trading strategies (2000)

Schittenkopf, Christian, Tino, Peter, Dorffner, Georg

Motivated by previous findings that discretization of financial time series can effectively filter the data and reduce the noise, this experimental study compares the trading performance of...

Temporal pattern recognition in noisy non-stationary time series based on quantization into symbolic streams (2000)

Tino, Peter, Schittenkopf, Christian, Dorffner, Georg

In this paper we investigate the potential of the analysis of noisy non-stationary time series by quantizing it into streams of discrete symbols and applying finite-memory symbolic predictors. The...

The profitability of trading volatility using real-valued and symbolic models (2000)

Christian Schittenkopf, Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

Essentially, there are two notions of volatility in literature: historical volatility and implied volatility. While measures of the former notion are derived from historical returns by (weighted)...

A Symbolic dynamics approach to volatility prediction (2000)

Peter Tino, Christian Schittenkopf, Georg Dorffner, Engelbert J. Dockner

We consider the problem of predicting the direction of daily volatility changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This is accomplished by quantizing a series of historic volatility changes...

Temporal pattern recognition in noisy non-stationary time series based on quantization into symbolic streams: Lessons learned from financial volatility trading (2000)

Peter Tino, Christian Schittenkopf, Georg Dorffner

In this paper we investigate the potential of the analysis of noisy non-stationary time series by quantizing it into streams of discrete symbols and applying finitememory symbolic predictors. The...

The Benefit of Information Reduction for Trading Strategies (2000)

Christian Schittenkopf, Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

Motivated by previous findings that discretization of financial time series can effectively filter the data and reduce the noise, this experimental study compares the trading performance of...

Building predictive models on complex symbolic sequences with a second-order recurrent BCM network with lateral inhibition (2000)

Peter Tino, Michal Stancík, Lubica Benusková

. Activation patterns across recurrent units in recurrent neural networks (RNNs) can be thought of as spatial codes of the history of inputs seen so far. When trained on symbolic sequences to perform...

Attractive Periodic Sets in Discrete Time Recurrent Networks (with Emphasis on Fixed Point Stability and Bifurcations in Two-Neuron Networks) (2000)

Peter Tino, Bill Horne, C. Lee Giles

We perform a detailed xed-point analysis of two-unit recurrent neural networks with sigmoid-shaped transfer functions. Using geometrical arguments in the space of transfer function derivatives, we...

Extracting finite state representations from recurrent neural networks trained on chaotic symbolic sequences (1999)

Peter Tino, Miroslav Koteles

While much work has been done in neural based modeling of real valued chaotic time series, little effort has been devoted to address similar problems in the symbolic domain. We investigate the...

Spatial representation of symbolic sequences through iterative function systems (1999)

Peter Tino

Abstract--- Jeffrey proposed a graphic representation of DNA sequences using Barnsley's iterative function systems. In spite of further developments in this direction, the proposed graphic...

A Symbolic Dynamics Approach to Volatility Prediction (1999)

Peter Tino, Christian Schittenkopf, Georg Dorffner, Engelbert J. Dockner

We consider the problem of predicting the direction of daily volatility changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This is accomplished by quantizing a series of historic volatility changes...

Recurrent neural networks with iterated function systems dynamics (1998)

Tino, Peter, Dorffner, Georg

We suggest a recurrent neural network (RNN) model with a recurrent part corresponding to iterative function systems (IFS) introduced by Barnsley [1] as a fractal image compression mechanism. The key...

Constructing finite-context sources from fractal representations of symbolic sequences (1998)

Tino, Peter, Dorffner, Georg

We propose a novel approach to constructing predictive models on long complex symbolic sequences. The models are constructed by first transforming the training sequence n-block structure into a...

Spatial representation of symbolic sequences through iterative function systems (1998)

Tino, Peter

Jeffrey proposed a graphic representation of DNA sequences using Barnsley's iterative function systems. In spite of further developments in this direction (Oliver et. al, 1993), (Roman-Roldan et. al,...

A symbolic dynamics approach to volatility prediction (1998)

Tino, Peter, Schittenkopf, Christian, Dorffner, Georg, Dockner, Engelbert J.

We consider the problem of predicting the direction of daily volatility changes in the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). This is accomplished by quantizing a series of historic volatility changes...

Spatial representation of symbolic sequences through iterative function systems (1998)

Tino, Peter

Jeffrey proposed a graphic representation of DNA sequences using Barnsley's iterative function systems. In spite of further developments in this direction (Oliver et. al, 1993), (Roman-Roldan et. al,...

Constructing finite-context sources from fractal representations of symbolic sequences (1998)

Tino, Peter; Dorffner, Georg

We propose a novel approach to constructing predictive models on long complex symbolic sequences. The models are constructed by first transforming the training sequence n-block structure into a...

Recurrent neural networks with iterated function systems dynamics (1998)

Tino, Peter; Dorffner, Georg

We suggest a recurrent neural network (RNN) model with a recurrent part corresponding to iterative function systems (IFS) introduced by Barnsley [1] as a fractal image compression mechanism. The key...

Extracting stochastic machines from recurrent neural networks trained on complex symbolic sequences’, Neural Network World 8(5 (1998)

Peter Tino, Vladimir Vojtek

We train recurrent neural network on a single, long, complex symbolic sequence with positive entropy. Training process is monitored through information theory based performance measures. We show that...

Recurrent neural networks with Iterated Function Systems dynamics (1998)

Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

We suggest a recurrent neural network (RNN) model with a recurrent part corresponding to iterative function systems (IFS) introduced by Barnsley [1] as a fractal image compression mechanism. The key...

Constructing Finite-Context Sources From Fractal Representations of Symbolic Sequences (1998)

Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

We propose a novel approach to constructing predictive models on long complex symbolic sequences. The models are constructed by first transforming the training sequence n-block structure into a...

Spatial Representation of Symbolic Sequences through Iterative Function Systems (1998)

Peter Tino

Jeffrey [10] proposed a graphic representation of DNA sequences using Barnsley 's iterative function systems. In spite of further developments in this direction [19, 25, 13], the proposed...

Spatial Representation of Symbolic Sequences through Iterative Function Systems (1998)

Peter Tino Austrian, Peter Tino

Jeffrey [10] proposed a graphic representation of DNA sequences using Barnsley 's iterative function systems. In spite of further developments in this direction [19, 25, 13], the proposed...

Finite State Machines and Recurrent Neural Networks -- Automata and Dynamical Systems Approaches (1998)

Bill G. Horne, C. Lee Giles, Pete C. Collingwood, School Of Computing, Man Sci, Peter Tino, ...

We present two approaches to the analysis of the relationship between a recurrent neural network (RNN) and the finite state machine M the network is able to exactly mimic. First, the network is...

Constructing Finite-Context Sources From Fractal Representations of Symbolic Sequences (1998)

Peter Tino, Georg Dorffner

We propose a novel approach to constructing predictive models on long complex symbolic sequences. The models are constructed by first transforming the training sequence n-block structure into a...

Self Organizing Map for Fast Cluster Detection in High-Dimensional Spaces (1997)

Peter Tino, Vladimir Vojtek

We study the problem of fast detection of dense, sufficiently separated clusters in (possibly) high dimensional spaces using self-organizing maps. To this end, we formulate the self-organizing map as...

Learning long--term dependencies in NARX recurrent neural networks (1996)

Tsungnan Lin Bill, Bill G. Horne, Peter Tino

It has recently been shown that gradient-descent learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks can perform poorly on tasks that involve long--term dependencies, i.e. those problems for which the...

Learning long-term dependencies in NARX recurrent neural networks (1996)

Tsungnan Lin, Bill G. Horne, Peter Tino, C. Lee Giles

It has recently been shown that gradient-descent learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks can perform poorly on tasks that involve long--term dependencies, i.e. those problems for which the...

Learning long--term dependencies is not as difficult with NARX recurrent neural networks (1996)

Tsungnan Lin, Bill G. Horne, Peter Tino

It has recently been shown that gradient descent learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks can perform poorly on tasks that involve long--term dependencies, i.e. those problems for which the...

Modeling Complex Symbolic Sequences with Neural and Hybrid Neural Based Systems (1996)

Peter Tino, Miroslav Köteles

While much work has been done in neural based modeling of real valued chaotic time series, little effort has been devoted to address similar problems in the symbolic domain. In this paper we (1)...

Learning Long-Term Dependencies is Not as Difficult With NARX Recurrent Neural Networks (1995)

Lin, Tsungnan, Horne, Bill G., Tino, Peter, Giles, C. Lee

It has recently been shown that gradient descent learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks can perform poorly on tasks that involve long- term dependencies, i.e. those problems for which the...

Learning Long-Term Dependencies is Not as Difficult With NARX Recurrent Neural Networks (1995)

Lin, Tsungnan, Horne, Bill G., Tino, Peter, Giles, C. Lee

It has recently been shown that gradient descent learning algorithms for recurrent neural networks can perform poorly on tasks that involve long- term dependencies, i.e. those problems for which the...

Fixed Points in Two--Neuron Discrete Time Recurrent Networks: Stability and Bifurcation Considerations (1995)

Tino, Peter, Horne, Bill G., Giles, C. Lee

The position, number and stability types of fixed points of a two--neuron recurrent network with nonzero weights are investigated. Using simple geometrical arguments in the space of derivatives of...

Fixed Points in Two--Neuron Discrete Time Recurrent Networks: Stability and Bifurcation Considerations (1995)

Tino, Peter, Horne, Bill G., Giles, C. Lee

The position, number and stability types of fixed points of a two--neuron recurrent network with nonzero weights are investigated. Using simple geometrical arguments in the space of derivatives of...

Finite State Machines and Recurrent Neural Networks -- Automata and Dynamical Systems Approaches (1995)

Tino, Peter, Horne, Bill G., Giles, C. Lee

We present two approaches to the analysis of the relationship between a recurrent neural network (RNN) and the finite state machine \( {\cal M} \) the network is able to exactly mimic. First, the...

Finite State Machines and Recurrent Neural Networks -- Automata and Dynamical Systems Approaches (1995)

Tino, Peter, Horne, Bill G., Giles, C. Lee

We present two approaches to the analysis of the relationship between a recurrent neural network (RNN) and the finite state machine \( {\cal M} \) the network is able to exactly mimic. First, the...

Learning and extracting initial mealy automata with a modular neural network model (1995)

Peter Tino, Jozef Sajda

A hybrid recurrent neural network is shown to learn small initial mealy machines (that can be thought of as translation machines translating input strings to corresponding output strings, as opposed...

Fixed Points in Two-Neuron Discrete Time Recurrent Networks: Stability and Bifurcation Considerations (1995)

Peter Tino, Bill G. Horne, C. Lee Giles

The position, number and stability types of fixed points of a two--neuron recurrent network with nonzero weights are investigated. Using simple geometrical arguments in the space of derivatives of...

The Benefit of Information Reduction for Trading Strategies.

Schittenkopf, Christian, Tino, Peter, Dorffner, Georg

Motivated by previous findings that discretization of financial time series can effectively filter the data and reduce the noise, this experimental study compares the trading performance of...

Does money matter in inflation forecasting?

Jane M. Binner, Peter Tino, Jonathan Tepper, Richard G. Anderson, Barry Jones, Graham Kendall

This paper provides the most fully comprehensive evidence to date on whether or not monetary aggregates are valuable for forecasting US inflation in the early to mid 2000s. We explore a wide range of...

Does money matter in inflation forecasting?

Jane M. Binner, Peter Tino, Jonathan Tepper, Richard G. Anderson, Barry Jones, Graham Kendall

This paper provides the most fully comprehensive evidence to date on whether or not monetary aggregates are valuable for forecasting US inflation in the early to mid 2000s. We explore a wide range of...