Why Isn't the Doha Development Agenda More Poverty Friendly? (2007)
Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Ivanic, Maros, Winters, Alan
The breakdown of the WTO negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda has inspired critics to highlight the lack of effort on the part of rich countries to reform their agricultural policies. In...
Distributional Effects of WTO Agricultural Reforms in Rich and Poor Countries (2006)
Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Ivanic, Maros, Winters, Alan
Rich countries' agricultural trade policies are the battleground on which the future of the WTO's troubled Doha Round will be determined. Subject to widespread criticism, they nonetheless appear to...
Assessing Global CGE Model Validity Using Agricultural Price Volatility (2005)
Valenzuela, Ernesto, Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Reimer, Jeff
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are commonly used for global agricultural market analysis. However, concerns are sometimes raised about the quality of their output since key parameters...
Global models of agricultural trade have a long and distinguished history. The introduction of the GTAP data base and modeling project represented a significant advance forward as it put modelers and...
Decoupling and the WTO: Farm sector and household impacts in the United States (2005)
The incorporation of domestic support policies under World Trade Organization (WTO) discipline introduced a new constraint into the decision framework for United States (U.S.) agricultural policy....
How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements? (2003)
Hertel, Thomas, Hummels, David, Ivanic, Maros, Keeney, Roman
With the proliferation of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) over the past decade, demand for quantitative analysis of their likely impacts has surged. The main quantitative tool for performing such...
OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries (2003)
Dimaranan, Betina, Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman
This paper aims to shed light on the potential interests of developing countries in reforms to domestic support for agriculture in the OECD economies. In order to accomplish this goal, we begin by...
Global models of agricultural trade have a long and distinguished history. The introduction of the GTAP Data Base and modeling project represented a significant advance forward as it put modelers and...
Assessing Global CGE Model Validity Using Agricultural Price Volatility
Valenzuela, Ernesto, Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Reimer, Jeff
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are commonly used for global agricultural market analysis. However, concerns are sometimes raised about the quality of their output since key parameters...
Distributional effects of WTO agricultural reforms in rich and poor countries
Thomas W. Hertel, Roman Keeney, Maros Ivanic, L. Alan Winters
"Rich countries' agricultural trade policies are the battleground on which the future of the WTO's troubled Doha Round will be determined. Subject to widespread criticism, they nonetheless appear to...
Recent work has highlighted agricultural land conversion as a significant debit in the greenhouse gas accounting of ethanol as an alternative fuel. This work has at the same time sparked considerable...
Distributional effects of WTO agricultural reforms in rich and poor countries
Hertel, Thomas W., Keeney, Roman, Ivanic, Maros, Winters, L. Alan
Rich countries'agricultural trade policies are the battleground on which the future of the WTO's troubled Doha Round will be determined. Subject to widespread criticism, they nonetheless appear to be...
OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries
Dimaranan, Betina, Hertel, Thomas W., Keeney, Roman
This paper aims to shed light on the potential interests of developing countries in reforms to domestic support for agriculture in the OECD economies. In order to accomplish this goal, we begin by...
How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?
Hertel, Thomas, David Hummels, Maros Ivanic, Roman Keeney
With the proliferation of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) over the past decade, demand for quantitative analysis of their likely impacts has surged. The main quantitative tool for performing such...
Distributional Effects of WTO Agricultural Reforms in Rich and Poor Countries
Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Ivanic, Maros, Winters, Alan
Rich countries’ agricultural trade policies are the battleground on which the future of the WTO’s troubled Doha Round will be determined. Subject to widespread criticism, they nonetheless appear...
Why Isn’t the Doha Development Agenda More Poverty Friendly?
Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman, Ivanic, Maros, Winters, Alan
The breakdown of the WTO negotiations under the Doha Development Agenda has inspired critics to highlight the lack of effort on the part of rich countries to reform their agricultural policies. In...
Assessing Global Computable General Equilibrium Model Validity Using Agricultural Price Volatility
Ernesto Valenzuela, Thomas W. Hertel, Roman Keeney, Jeffrey J. Reimer
Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) models are commonly used for global agricultural market analysis. Concerns are sometimes raised, however, about the quality of their output since key parameters...
How confident can we be of CGE-based assessments of Free Trade Agreements?
Hertel, Thomas, Hummels, David, Ivanic, Maros, Keeney, Roman
Maud ROUCAN-KANE, Roman KEENEY
In addition to farm work, most farm households in developed countries have at least one person working off-farm. The purpose of this paper is to examine if, and how, government payments, personal...
How Confident Can We Be in CGE-Based Assessments of Free Trade Agreements?
Thomas Hertel, David Hummels, Maros Ivanic, Roman Keeney
Computable General Equilibrium models, widely used for the analysis of Free Trade Agreements (FTAs) are often criticized for having poor econometric foundations. This paper improves the linkage...
Effects of U.S. Farm Programs on Equity and Efficiency
This paper analyzes the tradeoffs present between equity and efficiency in farm policy. In terms of equity, we are concerned with the implications of policies on the distribution of income. For...
Supply Response in Agriculture: Farm-Level and Sector-Wide Adjustment Reconciled
Keeney, Roman, Hertel, Thomas W.
Paper removed by authors for revision - 3/13/08.
OECD Domestic Support and the Developing Countries
Dimaranan, Betina, Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman
An AGE model with detailed farm supply and substitution relationships is used to analyze impacts of OECD domestic support reform on developing economy welfare. Stylized simulations indicate reforms...
GLOBAL ANALYSIS OF AGRICULTURAL TRADE LIBERALIZATION: ASSESSING MODEL VALIDITY
Hertel, Thomas W., Keeney, Roman, Valenzuela, Ernesto
This paper presents a validation experiment of a global CGE trade model widely used for analysis of trade liberalization. We focus on the ability of the model to reproduce price volatility in wheat...
Roucan-Kane, Maud, Keeney, Roman
In addition to farm work, most farm households in developed countries have at least one person working off-farm. The purpose of this paper is to examine if, and how, government payments, personal...
THE WTO DOHA DEVELOPMENT ROUND AND OECD AGRICULTURAL POLICY
Keeney, Roman, Hertel, Thomas W.
A global CGE model featuring agricultural sector detail is used to assess WTO agricultural reform. Parametric uncertainty is considered with model results evaluated based on confidence intervals. We...
WTO Impacts on US Rice Producing Households
Keeney, Roman, Beckman, Jayson
We investigate distributional impacts of WTO reforms on US rice producers. Model results show that rice producer’s household income is very sensitive to the amount of market access achieved in...
U.S. MARKET POTENTIAL FOR DRIED DISTILLERS GRAIN WITH SOLUBLES
Roman Keeney, Thomas W. Hertel
We examine the determinants of own-price output supply response in policy models, focusing primarily on the OECD-PEM equilibrium displacement model. Reviewing expert assessments and econometric...
OECD Domestic Support and Developing Countries
Dimaranan, Betina, Hertel, Thomas, Keeney, Roman
domestic support, OECD, developing countries, agricultural trade, WTO
WTO negotiations on agriculture and the distributional impacts for US rice farm households
Keeney, Roman, Beckman, Jayson
The policies of wealthy countries have proven the most difficult to reform in the WTO Doha Round negotiations. Considerable emphasis has been placed on developing country impacts, but a gap in the...
Consequences of Biofuel Policies on U.S. Farm Household Wealth
Agricultural and Food Policy, Environmental Economics and Policy,
The Poverty Impacts of Global Commodiity Trade Liberalization
Hertel, Thomas W., Keeney, Roman
Distorted incentives, agricultural and trade policy reforms, national agricultural development, Agricultural and Food Policy, International Relations/Trade, F13, F14, Q17, Q18,
Why Isn't the Doha Development Agenda more Poverty Friendly?
Thomas W. Hertel, Roman Keeney, Maros Ivanic, L. Alan Winters
Critics of the Doha Development Agenda rightly point to the lack of aggressive reform in wealthy countries for its role in dampening developing country gains. The authors find that the absence of...
Roman Keeney, Thomas W. Hertel
Recent analysis has highlighted agricultural land conversion as a significant debit in the greenhouse gas accounting of ethanol as an alternative fuel. A controversial element of this debate is the...